
"Jagran Prakashan Limited Conference Call"
May 28, 2010

Moderators: MR. Vikash Mantri
Mr. sanjay gupta
Mr. RK Agarwal
Moderator : LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, GOOD AFTERNOON AND WELCOME TO THE Q4 AND FULL YEAR FY10 RESULTS CONFERENCE CALL OF JAGRAN PRAKASHAN HOSTED BY ICICI SECURITIES LIMITED. AS A REMINDER FOR THE DURATION OF THIS CONFERENCE ALL PARTICIPANT LINES WILL BE IN THE LISTEN-ONLY MODE. THERE WILL BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR YOU TO ASK QUESTIONS AT THE END OF TODAY’S PRESENTATION. IF YOU SHOULD NEED ASSISTANCE DURING THE CONFERENCE PLEASE SIGNAL AN OPERATOR BY PRESSING “*” AND THEN “0” ON YOUR TOUCHTONE PHONE. PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS CONFERENCE IS BEING RECORDED. AT THIS TIME I WOULD LIKE TO HAND THE CONFERENCE OVER TO MR. VIKASH MANTRI OF ICICI SECURITIES. THANK YOU AND OVER TO YOU SIR
Vikash Mantri: Good afternoon everybody, we at ICICI Securities are
pleased to host the Q4 Fy’10 results concall for Jagran Prakashan. We have Mr.
Sanjay Gupta the CEO of Jagran Prakashan and Mr. R. K. Agarwal the CFO of
Jagran Prakashan, over to you sir.
R K Agarwal: Ladies and gentlemen we welcome you to the conference
call of JPL. The results have been before you. These are far better than one
would have expected
in the
beginning of the year. There is no doubt that all print media companies
benefited this year from low news print prices but the bigger gainers were
those who are innovative in their marketing approach and could register growth
and turnover beating overall industry's average growth rate. Our advertisement
revenues grew by 15.71% for the year and nearly 20% for the last quarter as
against decline in advertisement revenue for the print media industry in
calendar year 2009. Let me clarify here as far as Hindi newspapers are
concerned there was a growth, there was no decline and in fact the growth in the space for Hindi
newspaper was in the range of about 12% to 13% but it was English newspapers
and other than Hindi language papers, which suffered and this is what pulled
down the growth of overall industry because still nearly 45% of the total ad is
with English print media.
Equally heartening was
the performance of our outdoor and event businesses, which cumulatively
recorded a growth of about 28% again outperforming the industry. We are
particularly pleased with the performance of outdoor business where the
industry registered a negative growth but we recorded a growth of nearly 13%.
Outdoor business was virtually in operating profit since the second quarter of
the financial year, if we exclude the provisioning. Similarly event business
continued to be in profits, which would increase dis- proportionately to increase in turnover next year.
In comparison with Q3
the operating profits are lower despite higher increase in advertisement
revenue mainly because of onetime expenses such as contribution of Rs. 3 Crores
in CSR activity and expenses relating to Mid-Day merger, creation of uniform corporate
entity etc., aggregating over Rs. 2 Crores. Additionally, last quarter also
accounted for provisioning of Rs. 4 Crores on extremely conservative basis and target
incentives of Rs. 1 Crore due to increased advertisement revenue. As per our
adopted policy we provide for all the debts including government debts, where there is no
question of any doubt,
older than three years. We have also accounted for in the last quarter the
impact of increased gratuity entitlement from Rs. 3.5 lakhs to Rs. 10 lakhs.Since the parliament had
approved this announcement in May before closure of the accounts we thought it
is better to take it
into
consideration in 2009-2010 account. Thus operating profit and net profit for
the quarter as well
as for the
year were adversely impacted by onetime expenses and provisioning on extremely
conservative basis .
In fact
our core operating profit for the year was much higher than what is shown in
the results because of these reasons.
I would also like to
point out that as per as our policy we account for depreciation on written down value method as
against straight-line method followed by most in the industry. This results in higher depreciation in initial years
when you are adding the assets, which is the case in our case as compared to
those who follow straight-line method. This is why you see a jump of nearly
Rs.12 Crore in depreciation as well.
We are also happy to
inform that despite increase in competition in certain pockets of ours, Dainik Jagran was once
again declared to be the most read newspaper in IRS 2010 quarter one round.
Three more editions of I-Next have been launched at Gorakhpur, Bareli and
Jamshedpur. Only eight out of thirteen editions were covered by this survey
reporting an impressive total readership of 2.1 million. Cityplus was further
expanded and has now 24 editions.
The company’s effort to
keep itself in readiness in Internet space at appropriate time have continued
as company continues to invest in this space but with necessary caution and
restraint because we believe that any huge investment at this juncture is
undesirable as generation of revenue to justify huge investment is going to be
a challenge for the next four to five years.
The company's balance
sheet remains strong with gross liquid assets representing cash ,liquid investments and
ITDs of about 275 Crores as against 250 Crores as of 31st March 2009 despite pay
out of dividend and dividend tax of over Rs. 140 Crores approximately during
the year and there has also been
a drop in borrowing from Rs. 141 Crores to 125 Crore during the year. Similarly, debtor turnover was
same at 70 days as last year.
Going forward, we expect
growth anywhere between 17% to 18% in advertisement revenue and we expect to
continue to benefit from some of the cost control measures taken by us during
difficult times. We have adequate quantity of imported newsprint tied up for
whole of the year 2010-2011, which will reduce the impact of rising newsprint
prices. The merger of print media business of Mid-Day is going to be EPS
accretive for the company.We
are happy to report that since the approval of this scheme by our board, which
is subject to various other regulatory approvals both the companies have
already started working together to identify the synergic advantages to improve
the profits of print business of mid day and we are quite confident that we
shall be able to get additional revenues and save cost for them. We have
definite strategy for each of high potential brands of Mid-Day, which will be
implemented in due course in consultation with the existing management.
With these opening
remarks we now request you to have your questions, which our CEO Mr. Sanjay
Gupta and I will endeavor to answer to your satisfaction. Thank you very much
once again for sparing your valuable time to attend the call.
Moderator: Thank you very much sir. Ladies and
gentlemen we will now begin the question and answer session. The first question
is from the line of Sumit Modi from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.
Sumit Modi: Congratulations for very good set of numbers and also
for generous dividend once again. Just wanted to know what are the plans of new
edition launches for the next year and consequently what would be the CapEx
related to those plans and about the advertising revenue growth guidance of 17%
to 18% what in your view could be the likely volume growth within this.
R K Agarwal: First of all I will address your question about the
CapEx. We have a CapEx plan of about 125 Crores. As far as new editions are
concerned definitely we have plans to launch new editions of I-next and City Plus and for
Dainik Jagran I will request our CEO to throw light.
Sumit Modi: Sir, on 17%-18% ad revenue growth what according to
you is the volume growth within that?
R K Agarwal: Out of 17-18% at least 10% should be the volume
growth.
Sumit Modi: So you think 8%-10% rate hike, which you
are taking will be fully implemented.
R K Agarwal: We have taken higher rate hike, but I believe at least
this much will get implemented.
Sumit Modi: Okay, so at least 8%-10% will get
implemented. Sir, can you break this CapEx of 125 Crores how much would go in
what?
R K Agarwal: Out of this Rs.125 Crores 80 Crores are earmarked for
plant and machinery.
Sumit Modi: For i-Next and City Plus?
R K Agarwal: No, i-Next and City Plus do not need any CapEx these
are essentially required for augmenting our existing capacities.
Sumit Modi: Okay, and the rest 45 Crores?
R K Agarwal: I do not remember.In any case we have at least Rs. 30-40 Crores CapEx
every year, which are maintenance CapEx.So it would include certain buildings, computers and
various other assets.
Sumit Modi: Okay. Sir, in our core Hindi newspaper do we have
plans to launch any new edition and when do we target?
Sanjay Gupta: Let me tell you that in case of Dainik Jagran we are contemplating of
expanding and launching a few editions I cannot disclose this right now as a strategy
but you will likely
to see new
edition being launched by the yearend.
Sumit Modi: Okay, does this 80 Crores include the CapEx towards
that as well?
Sanjay Gupta: That includes.
Sumit Modi: Thank you and all the best.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Modi. The next question is
from the line of Ruchit Mehta from SBI Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.
Ruchit Mehta: On the subscription revenues they have been pretty
weak on growth basis even quarter-on-quarter the revenue remains flat. I just
want you get a sense if any pressure that you had mentioned last quarter are
still there or…
R.K. Agarwal: You are talking about the cover prices?
Ruchit Mehta: Yes sir.
R.K. Agarwal: We have increased the cover price at couple of places
in the last quarter. So, you cannot expect cover price increase every quarter
or every year; that pressure still
remains.
Ruchit Mehta: Sir, for the current year what would have been your
average realization?
R.K. Agarwal: For whole of the year I can tell you but I do not remember for the current quarter
and the last quarter, but for whole of the year it was above Rs. 2.
Ruchit Mehta: This will be again say 183 that you reported last
year?
R.K. Agarwal: Yes, there is an improvement of about 8%.
Ruchit Mehta: In terms of the ad growth you said that you are
looking at somewhere close to 17%-18% growth in advertising would this also be
a function of more and more colour advertising in overall pie?
R.K. Agarwal: That in any case is happening. This year also
colour space has increased very significantly and it would also contribute in
the growth.
Ruchit Mehta: What would be the current percentage of ad space in
colour?
R.K. Agarwal: Colour space has contributed about 45% in the total space.
Ruchit Mehta: What would have been on the average in premium of colour over the black and white
ad in the form of rate differential?
R.K. Agarwal: Very difficult to say, ,last year was an
exception where the advertisement rates have remained under pressure so
currently it is very difficult for me to indicate what kind of premium we charged last
year, but definitely it was more than 15%.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Mehta. The next question
is from the line of Amit Ahire from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.
Amit Ahire: Sir, what would be the newsprint
consumption during FY10 and what would be the average cost for that thing and
second as you said there is around 5 Crores of onetime provisioning cost, which
you incurred during the quarter so if you adjust for that what would be the
EBITDA number for that thing, it will be direct reduction of 5 Crores from the
total expenditures will it be the number?
R.K. Agarwal: Let me clarify to you couple of things.
Onetime expenses were in the range of about 5 Crores and over and above that
there was a provisioning of 4 Crores.
Amit Ahire: That is during the quarter?
R.K. Agarwal: During the quarter.
Amit Ahire: So, the EBITDA number would be 722
million, which will earn 30.6% margins would it be fair?
R.K. Agarwal: Yes, it would be fair.
Amit Ahire: What is the newsprint consumption during
the year and what would be the cost or average rate for that?
R.K. Agarwal: Average cost is something, which is
confidential, but let me tell you this is one of the lowest in the industry.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Ahire. The next question is
from the line of Avinash Agarwal from Sundaram BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Avinash Agarwal: Good evening sir. I just wanted to understand if this
CapEx number includes any CapEx for Mid-Day or…
R.K. Agarwal: No Mid-Day does not need any CapEx.
Avinash Agarwal: Sir, this provision of 4 Crores is for the gratuity
that you have mentioned?
R.K. Agarwal: No I did not mention that. I said 4 Crores
provisioning for bad
and doubtful debts
that we do on a very conservative basis as I mentioned in my opening remarks
whether it is government or non-government if they are older than three years
we make provision
(17:40)
Avinash Agarwal: Sir, your advertising growth has been quite impressive
this quarter so could you just highlight a couple of sectors, which have really
contributed to this kind of growth?
R.K. Agarwal: There is no specific sector, which was very
prominent in the last quarter.In fact all sectors came back to their normal levels
and contributed and what benefited us additionally to some more extent was our concentration on smaller
towns.
Avinash Agarwal: So, was it more like the regional or the retail sort
of players who advertise most this quarter?
R.K. Agarwal: That is right, but this quarter saw even
national advertisers coming back to their normal levels of advertisement.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Agarwal. . The next
question is from the line of Ritesh Poladia from Almondz Global. Please go
ahead.
Ritesh Poladia: Sir, this is in terms of CapEx, in the last four years
we have done about 90-100 Crores assuming not many new regions are open…
R.K. Agarwal: Can you please again repeat the figures?
Ritesh Poladia: In the last four years total cumulative CapEx would be
360 Crores so about 90-100 Crores every year. If we do not make any other new
editions or new regions till what time this 90-100 Crores CapEx would be
required just to refurbish the existing printing centers?
R.K. Agarwal: Let me clarify to you one thing .It is not that in the
past four –five
years we
have not done anything in terms of expansion. In 2005 we had launched in
Dharamshala and Jammu and Kashmir. When we went for an IPO the e object was to
upgrade our existing
capacity
in order to make them capable of printing more colour pages, which is paiying, Now we have colour space contributing
about 45% of the total space, which used to be about 15%-20% four years back
and that is what has in fact given the return on investment and that is what is
ensuring higher growth in advertisement. Your next question how long we would
continue to spend this kind of CapEx for upgradation? I think we have completed
almost all. Now we are not going to see that kind of expenditure only on
upgradation, but
still our CEO would explain a bit more in detail.
Sanjay Gupta: The issue is the life of a print line is about 12-15
years .So there will always be a few lines that will
start becoming old and will require change. Also print capacity of existing
plants need to be increased looking into the marketing demand that also leads
to the fact that we need to add new press lines in the bigger center.So in centers like Kanpur,
Patna, Lucknow, Delhi, Ludhiana, Jalandhar print orders are likely to increase
in coming years and we will see more
press lines coming in, but that will be not every year Definitely CapEx demand
for press lines will start going down from the next year as we will likely be
completing our colour installations of plant
and machinery by next year and you will see a dramatic drop in plant and
machinery expenditures. R.K. Agarwal: Let me add here, as it is for our industry
Rs. 40-Crores
or so is
something, what we call maintenance CapEx so we cannot rule out that CAPEX. But last year , you have seen CapEx of
just 40 Crores because times were difficult, we held back certain CapEx, which
we had planned in the beginning of the year so they have got postponed and now
they are going to be incurred in the current fiscal.
Ritesh Poladia: Very well explained sir. In terms of new editions by
yearend would it be in the new regions or in the existing regions?
R.K. Agarwal: That as our CEO said strategically we would
not like to even make an indication.
Ritesh Poladia: In terms of Mid-Day by which quarter the numbers would
be integrated?
R.K. Agarwal: It all depends on when high court approves these
schemes.
Ritesh Poladia: It might take one more quarter?
R.K. Agarwal: No, I am pretty sure till December we will
not be able to include.
Ritesh Poladia: Last year we have consumed about 1 lakh tonnes of
newsprint, this year it would be 10% more or higher than that?
R.K. Agarwal: You are talking about 2010-2011?
Ritesh Poladia: No, 2009-2010.
R.K. Agarwal: 2009-2010, no it was not 10% higher because page
levels, etc., were all kept under control, it was higher by about 3%.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Poladia. The next question
is from the line of Hiren Dasani from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Hiren Dasani: Thank you. Good evening Mr. Agarwal and Mr. Gupta. I
just wanted to get a sense of our exit circulation in each of the newspaper
brands I mean where are we exiting March 2010 in terms of copies per day for
DJ, i-Next as well as City Plus?
R.K. Agarwal: DJ, we are about 2.9 million, i-Next about
0.3 million.
Hiren Dasani: City Plus?
R.K. Agarwal: City Plus, it is a weekly. the circulation should be in the range of about 0.4
million.
Hiren Dasani: The circulation of DJ per day should grow more in line with the organic
4%-5% going forward right?
R.K. Agarwal: Growing the circulation of DJ is not an issue.We can grow whenever we
wish. Our biggest challenge not only for us but also for the entire language
media industry is how to monetize the huge leadership base what we carry. If we
look at our leadership base and compare it with the advertisement revenue what
we are able to generate ,in
fact there is a complete mismatch and that gives an impression that not more
than 50% of our readership base is standing monetized currently, So growing the circulation is not a problem in fact
that 3%-4% growth or 4%-5% growth what you said is organically possible but it
has to be kept in mind by the publishers how long we can go on increasing the
circulation without commanding the kind of rates what English media commands.Definitely the gap is
bridging but it is taking time so we have to be very cautious because after all
we have to give return on your investment as well when it comes to circulation.
Hiren Dasani: Why do you think is the difference only between
English or Hindi or you think within your Hindi peer also your monetization of readership is somewhat
lower?
R.K. Agarwal: Monetization of our readership base is
definitely slightly lower than many others for the simple reason that the
markets are growing and in future not only that gap would be bridged but then
we will be able to monetize our readership base still better in times to come.
Hiren Dasani: In this 17%-18% ad revenue growth is it like-to-like,
I mean it is excluding Mid-Day or including?
R.K. Agarwal: No, excluding Mid-Day; whatever figures I am
indicating that is excluding Mid-Day.
Hiren Dasani: Broadly for FY10 can you give us a sense on the
advertising revenue for let us say your two satellite papers, which are I-Next
and City Plus?
R.K. Agarwal: City Plus I do not remember exactly the
figure but I think it did anything between 4-5 Crores because when we started
the year we had only 14 editions now only we have 24 editions So you will see clear
traction because this year we have taken a very steep growth target and I am
sure, the way they have been
proceeding for past two months, they would achieve that kind of revenue. As far as
i-Next is concerned we did about 30 Crores.
Hiren Dasani: This provisioning for bad debt it is not like an
extraordinary thing right having every year?
R.K. Agarwal: No, it is not an extraordinary you are
absolutely right, but this year there was an extraordinary component and it was
about 6 Crores for certain debts, which are under the litigation and it was purely on extremely conservative
basis that we have done the provisioning, so this component was extraordinary
and regaining provisioning too definitely could have been lower if we were not to be
too conservative.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Dasani. The next question
is from the line of Rohit Dokania from B&K Securities. Please go ahead.
Rohit Dokania: Congratulations on good set of numbers. When do we
expect i-Next to break even?
R.K. Agarwal: In fact, i-Next had a profit last year. It
had a small profit, but then I would say it was because newsprint prices were
lower, but this year they would have very good traction in their revenue and
therefore this year also they have projected profit for their business.
Rohit Dokania: If I remember it correctly after the Q4 FY09 call I
believe you had said within four to five years we want to make i-Next about
220-250 Crores kind of a brand on the top line, are we sticking on those plans?
R.K. Agarwal: Definitely for I-Next we have very aggressive plans
and in the next four to five years if it does not reach that level it will be
sad for us.
Rohit Dokania: Would you like to comment on your margins, EBITDA
margins going forward, how do you expect it to shape up in FY11, will we be
able to maintain 30%-31% kind of a range?
R.K. Agarwal: 31% is little difficult but 28% - 29% should not be a
problem and in case advertisement revenue again does better than what we are
expecting then the margins would again go beyond 30% because if you recall in
the beginning of the year there was so much uncertainty, we were not expecting
more than 7% to 8% growth in advertisement revenue. Thanks to our innovative
marketing approach and policies, which we implemented to combat the slowdown,
it gave us a growth exceeding
15%.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Dokania. The next question
is from the line of Abneesh Roy from Edelweiss Capital. Please go ahead.
Abneesh Roy: Great set of ad revenues. My first question is on your
Internet division. Initially you said that you are going to invest in this but
very cautiously, just wanted to understand are you happy with the deal with
Yahoo any rethink on that because I remember three years back when you had done
the deal you were quite positive, so where do we stand with respect to that?
R.K. Agarwal: In terms of traffic there has been a tremendous improvement, in terms of
the look of the site there has been a
tremendous improvement. Revenues definitely have not come on the expected
lines, so from the current year we have also started selling the space on our
portal in addition to Yahoo and that is what has shown very significant
improvement in revenues from Internet property as well.
Abneesh Roy: How does it work, two sales teams for the same
property?
R.K. Agarwal: They have identified the clients whom Yahoo would
approach whom we would approach.
Abneesh Roy: There is a new competitor likely to enter in Jharkhand
and in the last five or six years we have seen that normally the second player
is impacted in terms of new entry, we are the second player in that market, you
are very strong I totally agree, but do you think that we will be impacted more
in Jharkhand as we are the second player there or how does it work?
R.K. Agarwal: I will request later our CEO to answer your question
more in detail but there
are a few things, which I
would like to share with you. Number one ,Jharkhand is normally not sold as standalone state. You have to be in Bihar
as well. Number two, Bihar and Jharkhand still depend significantly on
government revenues, my hunch would say it is more than definitely 50% in value, so this
government advertisement revenue is something, which does not come to new
entrant as it never came to us when we went there because there is always a
time lag between when you launch and when your rates are approved by the
government and there is a significant time lag that is between 16 to 18 months,
so during this interim what happens is if you want to take government advertisement
you have to give
declaration
that whatever government approves that is what you will accept. In our case
also substantial amounts had to be written-off when we went to Bihar first, so
these are the two important points, which have to be borne in mind and in fact
when you say number two player gets affected more I think you are talking about
particularly regional number two players not those number two players who has pan India
presence.
Abneesh Roy: Why should it be different for a regional and….
R.K. Agarwal: For the simple reason Abneesh that, , other places
give one particular state like Jharkhand lot of strength, because you are selling bouquet
when it comes to national advertising and as far as local advertising is
concerned I have already explained you there dependence is much more on government advertisement revenue than
anywhere else.
Sanjay Gupta: Let me add to what Mr. Agarwal has said
Jharkhand is a P3 market for national advertisers and for us Jharkhand was a
logical extension of Bihar because Jharkhand as a state was formed after we had
launched in Bihar, so for us to launch in Jharkhand was an essentiality in a
way that we wanted to have a complete market presence and now we are nearly
around 10 years old in that market. We have a very strong brand presence in Jharkhand and
any new entrant will have to really fight us for a very long time duration to show some substantial
results and initial numbers, which publishers start shooting from the mouth I
am not one of those persons to believe in because end of the day those numbers
do not yield any advertising return and let me also assure you that as Jagran
is, we are not going to
take things lightly in any of our markets whenever competition comes to us, so
we give a strong fight to the competition and maintain our position in line with our monetization
efforts of the market, so that is a policy that we adopt and we do not go
overboard and we do not want to fight a battle where it becomes more of an ego clash rather than a
logical clash, so we always want to fight a battle on logical grounds rather
than on emotional grounds.
Abneesh, one more thing
I want to add and cite as an example. Look at Punjab, there also we were number
two to Punjab Keasri. When Dainik Bhaskar
came not only we improved our position there but we have increased our revenue
manifold, like in Ludhiana we are
clearly number one, which we would not have become had we not faced the
competition, so if you look at Jagran’s past, Jagran has maximum number of
competitors in every pocket and we have excelled in competition and another
thing is not
to forget
the strength of I-Next .So
far we have not adopted the strategy of selling to the market on the ground
that I-Next plus Jagran is bigger
than competitor.
Abneesh
Roy:
Something like what is
there in Bombay?
R. K. Agarwal: Absolutely right, so this is a strategy we have not
adopted so far but then this is something, which we are going to do.
Abneesh Roy: Sir, my second question is on your subscription
growth, which was very disappointing in Q4. You also said you have taken two
cover price increases, so could you give us some guidance in to FY11 growth in
circulation revenues?
R. K. Agarwal: Abneesh, you cannot expect circulation revenue growing
quarter after quarter. You must look at two important things, last quarter of
the financial year is a very tough one in the sense that examination season
starts, so unless and until you push the circulation, there is hardly any
growth possible in number of copies sold and as far as cover price is concerned
that also you cannot increase every now and then, definitely we have taken
increase in cover price but that is in case of only part of couple of editions.
Abneesh Roy: So, 4 or 5% is possible or that is also too much I circulation revenue?
R. K. Agarwal: Very difficult to comment looking at the competition,
which is going to come may be that on an overall basis.
Abneesh Roy: Sir, one last question is on your Blackstone funding,
which has happened in the promoter group?
R. K. Agarwal: It has not yet happened.
Abneesh Roy: No colour on that Sir because it has not happened till now.
What is likely in terms of acquisition or something like that?
R. K. Agarwal: Unfortunately what has happened is immediately after
Blackstone deal announcement, there was an announcement of Mid-Day, so people
started clubbing
these two
together, but fact of the matter is that this is absolutely an independent transaction. Our approach
towards acquisition and joint venture is altogether different. We have been
looking for tie-up etc., because that is what we believe is a real growth
vehicle in times to come. You go to new territory spend the money whether you get the desired return on your capital
invested?
So, if there is somebody who is suffering and by providing marketing
support by providing cost synergies, if you can improve their profit, that is
the best situation to be in. How much more you would fragment this industry ?Already you are having
nearly 62,000 newspapers in the country and 92% of them are Indian language
newspapers.
Moderator:
Thank you Mr. Roy. The
next question is from the line of Amit Kumar from Kotak. Please go ahead.
Amit
Kumar:
There was just one
point, which I missed somewhere in between, what is the amount of newsprint
inventory that you are carrying right now in terms of number of months?
R.
K. Agarwal:
Amit, we have sufficient
inventory to feed us for one or two months more but more importantly we have
tied up the imported quantity for whole of the year.
Amit Kumar: What would be the mix of newsprint? Just a rough idea
how much would be imported and how much would be domestic?
R.K. Agarwal: Imported should be about 25%-30%
Amit Kumar: Little bit on the Bihar and Jharkhand market. Could
you just give us an idea based on your recent experiences in the last three to
five months since you yourself had taken ad rate hike as well. What sort of a growth
are you witnessing in terms of advertising revenues in that particular market?
R.K. Agarwal: Bihar and Jharkhand have been one of the biggest
contributors in the last year growth besides Punjab and Haryana.
Amit Kumar: Could you quantify that with some number?
R.K. Agarwal: Amit that is something I would not like to do.
Amit Kumar: The other point which I broadly wanted to discuss was
that given the entry of competition in that particular market, could you give
us a very broad idea of what your strategy would be, that is point #1 and
corollary to that have you done some sort of an analysis as to what would be in
terms of the impact, what would be the financial impact?
R.K. Agarwal: Amit, you would agree that no competitor would share
the strategy until the time it has to be implemented, that is one thing and
number two I do not see much of an impact.
Amit Kumar: But have you done survey analysis of how
much of cost of business in that particular market, if Bhaskar had not entered
given the fact that the market is growing at the rate where it is what kind of
benefit you would have next year and what will the impact be because of new
competition coming in?
R.K. Agarwal: Let us see and wait because I do not expect too much
of impact and I am sure that Dainik Bhaskar being a listed company will also
not like to waste money.
Amit Kumar: In terms of i-Next you have added a
couple of new editions on that particular side in the first quarter? How much
have your circulation gone, I mean the three additions that you have added how
much has the circulation of I-Next gone up on that account?
R.K. Agarwal: Those three editions have added, I am not sure, but I
think it is 80,000 to 90,000 copies because since this is a city-centric
newspaper; we have targets of very limited circulation.
Amit Kumar: Could you just give us a very broad idea as
to, the paper is already present in about 12 markets, have all the urban
centers within the markets that you cover have they been targeted or is there
still some scope for expansion of I-Next in new areas?
R.K. Agarwal: For I-Next we have altogether different
strategy and let us see how I-Next progresses and then we will really start
implementing that strategy.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Kumar. Ladies and gentlemen, the
management would be taking one last question. The last question is from the
line of Ruchit Mehta from SBI Mutual Fund. Please go ahead.
Ruchit Mehta: What would have been your I-Next plus Cityplus
revenues in the current year?
R.K. Agarwal: About 35 Crores, advertisement revenue plus circulation
revenue of I-Next?
Ruchit Mehta: What would have been the outdoor revenues?
R.K. Agarwal: About 47 Crores.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Mehta. Ladies and
gentlemen, that was the last question. I would now like to hand the floor back
to Mr. Agarwal for closing comments. Please go ahead Sir.
R.K. Agarwal: Thank you very much gentlemen once again for sparing
your valuable time for JP's conference call. Thank you very much.
Moderator: Thank you Mr. Agarwal, Mr. Gupta, and
Mr. Mantri. Ladies and gentlemen on behalf of ICICI Securities that concludes
this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.