|
Moderator: Morning
ladies and gentlemen. I am Sandhya, the moderator for this conference.
Welcome to the Jagran conference call hosted by ICICI Securities.
For the duration of the presentation, all participants lines
will be in the listen-only mode. I will be standing by for the Q&A
session. I would like to hand over to Mr. Vikash Mantri. Thank you
and over to you, sir.
Vikash
Mantri: Good morning everybody. We at ICICI Securities are very
pleased to hold the Jagran Prakashan management conference call
for the Q2FY08. From the management, we have Mr. Sanjay Gupta,
the Editor and CEO of Jagran Prakashan and Mr. R.K. Agarwal, the
CFO. Over to you sir.
R.
K. Agarwal: Thanks. Welcome to the conference call of JPL. In spite
of the fact that September 2006 quarter had a benefit of the part
of the festive season which is not the case for the current quarter.
JPL has been able to register growth in terms of top line as well
as bottom line. The performance was really heartening and as we
have been saying all along, if one believes in the long-term growth
story of India, one cannot avoid believing in the growth potential
of the tier II and tier III towns. Also, the regional press has
come to a stay which is once again clearly evidenced by the performance
of JPL for the quarter two of the year 2007/2008. As you might have
noticed from the press release and the results which have already
been circulated yesterday, the operating revenues increased by 23.40%
with the increase in the PAT by 25.47%. Still, more heartening was
operating profit margins that improved significantly and went up
to 22.02% for the quarter and if you look at the six monthly results,
there was an increase of 40.28% in the net profit. We are quite
confident that in the remaining financial year, the performance
is going to be still better because quarter third and quarter fourth,
as everybody knows, are better ones. With that, we invite you all
to have your questions and we will endeavor to answer and address
your concerns if there is any.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. We will now begin the Q&A interactive
session. Participants who wish to ask questions, please press *1
on your telephone keypad. On pressing *1, participants will get
a chance to present their questions on a first-in-line basis. Participants
are requested to use only handsets while asking a question. To ask
a question, please press *1 now. First question comes from Mr. Avnish
Roy of Religare Securities. Over to you sir.
Avnish
Roy: Congratulations on good set of numbers. My question is in Punjab
the Dainik Bhaskar entered, there was a huge price war in subscription
and ad rates are also affected. HT is also planning aggressive expansion
in your main markets of UP and Uttaranchal in the next two years.
So what kind of hit HT you have on Jagran ad revenues?
R.
K. Agarwal: Thank you very much Avnish. I request our CEO to throw
light on this.
Sanjay
Gupta: Good morning. First let me apprise you of the little development
in Punjab. Bhaskar has not been able to eat ad revenues at all.
. At the moment they are not so aggressive but even if, I am very
sure that with sound base, we are not going to take hit on any advertising.
Avnish
Roy: Okay. And secondly, if you look at the ad revenue growth in
Q2 and Q1, there is a significant slowdown from around 45% ad revenue
growth in Q1 to 25% in Q2.
R.
K. Agarwal: Avnish, I would like you to know, quarter 2 has always
been bad. As I mentioned in the opening remarks, do not compare
it with the earning for the quarter of the previous year. The corresponding
quarter of the previous year captured part of the __festive season.
If you recollect, we had Vijayadashmi on 2nd of October of last
year, right?
Avnish
Roy: Yeah.
R.
K. Agarwal: So I mean , quarter two cannot be compared with any
other quarters of the remaining year.
Avnish
Roy: Okay. So in the coming quarters, we can expect higher than
25% ad revenue growth?
R.
K. Agarwal: Definitely yes, we will maintain that momentum. And
in any case, if you compare it with the other results which have
been out and you will notice clearly that Jagran has grown faster
than others.
Avnish
Roy: And are you seeing a slowdown from the key factor of auto and
property segment in UP?
R.
K. Agarwal: There has been some slowdown in probably auto industry
but then it has been more than compensated by others. So now, I
mean like with the third quarter beginning, we are seeing auto also
coming back.
Avnish
Roy: Okay, thanks.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Hitesh of Daulat
Capital. Over to you sir.
Hitesh:
Good morning sir, congratulations on great results. Sir, I have
a macro question. Now we are seeing incremental growth in terms
of volume coming to Hindi rather than English. So do you think this
trend is going to continue for sometime and when do -?
R.
K. Agarwal: We do not have any reason to believe otherwise.
Hitesh:
Okay, and when do we see the differential rates getting narrowed
between English and Hindi?
R.
K. Agarwal: It has already started narrowing.
Hitesh:
Sir, can you give some kind of quantitative factors for that?
R.
K. Agarwal: See, still they should be costlier by at least 50%.
But then when you say English press is costlier, you are not comparing
I mean like in real sense apple with apple . The reasons are very
simple, I mean if you are comparing or when I say 50% costlier or
even more than that, then I am comparing best of our edition which
is in Kanpur or Lucknow with Mumbai, right.
Hitesh:
Okay.
R.
K. Agarwal: If you take into consideration the rates what TOI in
Kanpur or Lucknow or for that matter of fact HT charges, we are
much higher.
Hitesh:
Okay. That is great. And sir, in incremental advertisement allocation
to print, how much Hindi or vernacular editions would be taking
the pie, any rough estimate?
R.
K. Agarwal: Do not call it vernacular, let us say regional language.
Hitesh:
Yeah, regional language.
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, so I mean like the space regional press is getting
is more than what English press is.
Hitesh:
Okay, so it is now more than 50%?
R.
K. Agarwal: I am not able to understand. If you were talking about
value, then in that case, regional is continuing to maintain 50%
or slightly more than 50%. But if you are talking only in terms
of space what I mentioned, regional is getting more space than English.
That is what it is. Then in terms of value, our regional press is
getting about 50%-51% and English is getting say 49%.
Hitesh:
Okay sir, that is great. Sir, a couple of maintenance questions.
In our expenditure, other total raw material cost, this pertains
entirely to the print business or is there something?
R.
K. Agarwal: Nothing else.
Hitesh:
Okay, and in other expenditure you have mentioned, direct expense
for outdoor and Stores and Chemical, that is pertaining to the other
businesses?
R.
K. Agarwal: No, outdoor is one part. Store and Chemical is other
part. Store and Chemical relates to the print business. And direct
outdoor event and expansion relates to other one.
Hitesh:
Okay. And sir, one final, can we get total volume space sold in
this quarter?
R.
K. Agarwal: Total space sold in this quarter?
Hitesh:
Yeah.
R.
K. Agarwal: Please come back after other question.
Hitesh:
Okay, thanks a lot sir and all the best.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Participants are requested to ask only
two questions in initial round and come back in the follow-up question.
Next in line, we have Ms. Tanu of Quantum Asset Management. Over
to you maam.
Tanu:
Hello. I just have overheads format. Can you talk on that in terms
of properties or that you might have required till now, how competition
planning on because a lot of other guys are proven prominence that
area and the contribution to revenues if any so far?
R.
K. Agarwal: We are not able to hear you. Can you speak a bit loudly?
Tanu:
Can you hear now?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah.
Tanu:
Okay, I just want sense of how the overhead segment for jagran is
panning out?
R.
K. Agarwal: Oh this year, I mean like in this quarter at a turnover
of about 11 Crores, higher by about 20% as compared to the previous
quarter. So we are in process of scaling up the business.
Tanu:
Okay, what other kind of properties you will have under OH till
now.
R.
K. Agarwal: We have more than 1000 properties. In fact, we are not
adding any significant property for nearly three-four months because
we have already built the inventory and now we have to optimize
the utilization.
Tanu:
Sir, what kind of properties would you have till now? Is it bus
shelters?
R.
K. Agarwal: We have properties in Mumbai, Bangalore, Hyderabad,
Surat, Delhi.etc
Tanu:
Okay, and we are going to essentially bus shelters or something
else?
R.
K. Agarwal: We dont have bus shelters but we have bus panels
. We have got buses from UP Government. We have got a railway station
from Railways.
Tanu:
Okay, alright, thank you so much.
Moderator:
Thank you very much maam. Participants who wish to ask question
may kindly press *1. Next question comes from Mr. Vinay of Lotus
Mutual Fund. Over to you sir.
Vinay:
Hello.
R.
K. Agarwal: Hello.
Vinay:
Yeah, good morning sir and congratulations on posting a great set
of numbers.
R.
K. Agarwal: Very good morning. Thank you very much.
Vinay:
Yeah. Sir, my question pertains to I Next and City Plus. Can you
throw some more light as to how these new initiatives are panning
out?
R.
K. Agarwal: I Next as you might have noticed from press release
has given really heartening performance. And in fact, I Next has
become #2 newspaper of Kanpur after Dainik Jagran. So you can very
well understand I mean like we have in Kanpur Hindustan, we have
Amar Ujala. So beating both of them, we have reached spot of #2.
And in Lucknow also, it is doing very well and at both places the
circulation numbers what we have already attained are beyond our
expectations in such a short period of time.
Vinay:
Sir, can you share with us the circulation numbers or it is too
early?
R.
K. Agarwal: please excuse me..
Vinay:
Okay, fine, that is fine, yeah. And what about City Plus?
R.
K. Agarwal: City Plus is also doing well. In fact, we have launched
three more editions in this current quarter in Delhi and one in
Bangalore. So pursuing our strategy to use this brand to take us
to places outside our area of operation, We have gone to Bangalore
and by March, you will hear a few more editions
Vinay:
Sir, would it be right to assume that whatever cost of raw material
has increased, it is predominantly because of these new initiatives?
R.
K. Agarwal: No, definitely not, there has been an increase in circulation
by over 10%.
Vinay:
In the existing editions?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, in the existing, I mean like in Dainik Jagran
and yes, I Next and City Plus also have contributed a part of it.
Vinay:
Okay, so basically it has increased by something about 20%, about
half of which would be --.
R.
K. Agarwal: No, if you look at I mean last year, we had raw material
consumption of about 53 Crore. This year we have, I mean in this
quarter 61 Crore. So there is an increase of about 15%. As I said,
over 10% increase is due to increase in the circulation of Dainik
Jagran.
Vinay:
Fine. And sir, your press release also mentioned about the creation
of a new division called J9.
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, that is right.
Vinay:
Can you elaborate something on that?
R.
K. Agarwal: I request our CEO to throw some light on it.
Sanjay
Gupta: Good morning, J9 is our short code SMS division which promotes
SMS on mobile phones and on a revenue share basis, from the operators
we earn our money .
Vinay:
Yahoo tie up would also come under this division?
Sanjay
Gupta: No, that is the separate tie up. That is not under J9. It
is our dotcom site which is a very old, now about ten years old.
Vinay:
Sir, can you share with us some details in terms of revenues what
you are earning here?
Sanjay
Gupta: In J9 apart from mobile, we have web space as well and in
fact J9 is going to launch a few more services in future which would
include classified vertical as well. So that is what is about J9.
Vinay:
So this is predominantly non-English or this would also include
English website or English contents?
Sanjay
Gupta: It has got nothing to do with Hindi alone. You can have Hindi,
English or any other language whatever is required. So it is not
be confined to Hindi only. Classified vertical will be in English.
Vinay:
Okay, so I think your other operating income in the total sales
was about 2 odd Crores, 1 or 2 odd Crores.
Sanjay
Gupta: Yeah.
Vinay:
So that would be, is it fair to assume it would be something what
J9 would be generating?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, you are absolutely right, I can give you its figure.
I think in the last quarter, they had revenue of about 1.3 Crore.
Vinay:
So basically, the outdoor business has also started breaking event
on a gross basis?
R.
K. Agarwal: Outdoor is nearing breaking even.
Vinay:
It is about 13 odd Crores of I think turnover and 12 odd Crore of
direct cost.
R.
K. Agarwal: No, 10 odd Crore, what you are reading out is for one
quarter, not on a six months basis.
Vinay:
Yeah, I am talking about fairly from this quarter perspective sir
that --.
R.
K. Agarwal: We had incurred about roughly about Rs. 11 Crore on
outdoor direct expenses. We had revenue about 10 Crores.
Vinay:
So basically, this is an activity which can only scale up?
R.
K. Agarwal: You are absolutely right.
Vinay:
Okay. And the cost sir fixed or they also can --?
R.
K. Agarwal: For us , we have this direct expense as far as outdoor
is concerned.
Vinay:
They would be fixed because you have leased out the other side.
R.
K. Agarwal: They are almost fixed. So I mean like if I am able to
increase the occupancy or utilization from current 60% or so to
70% it will start immediately yielding results.
Vinay:
Okay sir, thank you and best of luck.
R.
K. Agarwal: Thank you.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. I repeat, participants are requested to
ask only two questions in the initial round and come back in the
follow-up question. Next question comes from Mr. Miten Lathia of
HDFC Mutual Fund. Over to you sir.
Miten
Lathia: Good morning sir. Just a small clarification on the raw
material cost you just mentioned that you have a 10% increase in
the circulation. The cost per se has gone up from 57 Crores to 64
Crores which is a 15% increase while the underlying newsprint price
itself has fallen by about 10% year on year. So what we are trying
to account for is a 25% difference. So besides the circulation increase,
is there some other factor in the raw material cost?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, you are absolutely right. See, there were other
two brands which also came up - I Next and City Plus The reason
#2. #3 is increase in the page levels due to increase in the advertisement
because if you look at the total space of DJ there is a is growth
of roughly about 12% in the current quarter and on 6 montly basis
it should be about 17% to 18%. That has resulted in increase in
pages per copy as well.
Miten
Lathia: Okay, so what we are saying is there is a 12% increase in
pagination?
R.
K. Agarwal: Not exactly that I mean like the third reason as we
have always been maintaining, we do not intend to earn out of savings
in the newsprint cost. If there is a saving in the newsprint cost,
we would most like to pass it on to the user who returned by starting
from giving more of importance.
Mitten
Lathia: Okay sir, that was useful. Thank you very much.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next question comes from Ms. Purnima of
Capital. Over to you maam.
Purnima:
Hello, good morning sir.
R.
K. Agarwal: Good morning. Can you speak a bit loudly?
Purnima:
Yes sir, in the case of new strength, what was the trend like from
price trend like from the last year to this year?
R.
K. Agarwal: Sorry, your voice is still very faint.
Purnima:
Sir, in the case of new strength, hello?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah.
Purnima:
In the case of new strength, prices, hello?
R.
K. Agarwal: The prices were lower than the previous year.
Purnima:
By how much sir?
R.
K. Agarwal: Should be about 2% to 3%.
Purnima:
Okay. And the trend would likely to continue?
R.
K. Agarwal: About 5%.
Purnima:
Pardon sir.
R.
K. Agarwal: About 5%.
Purnima:
Okay, this trend would likely to continue?
R.
K. Agarwal: No I do not think. In the coming quarter you might see
some increase in the prices because in Canada, a few large manufactures
have curtailed their production or rather stopped their production
so there will be pressure on imported quantities, as a result of
which indigenous quantity will also undergo some pressure.
Purnima:
Okay sir, and what is the price right now?
R.
K. Agarwal: Imported would be in the range of about $570-$575.
Purnima:
Okay sir.
R.
K. Agarwal: Pardon?
Purnima:
$570?
R.
K. Agarwal: $570-$570.
Purnima:
Okay sir, thank you very much.
Moderator:
Thank you very much maam. Next question comes from Mr. Siddhartha
Shah of UTI Mutual Fund. Over to you sir.
Siddhartha
Shah: Yeah sir, I just wanted to have operational number of cash
on hand and what is the status of deployment of this cash? Thank
you.
R.
K. Agarwal: We are still continuing to have about 200 in cash in
our balance sheet.
Siddhartha
Shah: 200 Crores?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, 200 Crore in the balance sheet although you might
have seen from the results that now balance left out of IPO proceed
is just 148 Crores. Thanks to the robust cash realization.
Siddhartha
Shah: Okay.
R.
K. Agarwal: So we already have quite significant orders placed for
capital equipments. Money is going to be utilized in that. Plus,
we are working on a few joint venture proposals which are expected
to materialize, at least one of them is expected to materialize
shortly. So that will also consume some money. So I mean like those
joint venture proposals expenses on planned CAPEX should be consuming
on a lot of money. But still, given the robust cash realization,
your company might continue to have good liquidity in times to come.
Siddhartha
Shah: Sir, this capital equipment purchase should be done by this
year end?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah, orders are already placed. Equipments have already
started flowing in and they will continue to because I mean like
what we started last year, last year also we did a CAPEX of about
100 Crore and this year also we will do it by more than 100 Crore.
Siddhartha
Shah: Okay. And what would be the CAPEX for the first half?
R.
K. Agarwal: First half, I do not have the readily figure. I do not
have figure readily available with me. But I think it should be
roughly about Rs. 40 Crore cash spent so far.
Siddhartha
Shah: Okay sir. And this joint venture that you are speaking about,
would it be in the print business?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah.
Siddhartha
Shah: Okay sir, thank you very much.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next question comes from Mr. Krishnan of
Ambit Capital. Over to you sir.
Krishnan:
Yeah, hi. I had two questions. One was about the newsprint cost.
I think that got answered a little while back. The second question
I have is about the ad rate hikes, I mean in terms of the ad rates,
I mean in the recent past, have you taken any hike and if so, to
what extent?
R.
K. Agarwal: No, in the past we have not taken.
Krishnan:
Okay, so which means effective of the festive season, you might?
R.
K. Agarwal: No, we will normally do it once in a year.
Krishnan:
Okay, so that once in a year has already happened?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yes. We have taken last increase in March 2007.
Krishnan:
Okay, fine thanks.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Shah of Alchemy
Shares and Stock Brokers. Over to you sir.
Yasmin:
Hi sir, this is Yasmin here. I had a couple of questions. First
on your out of home, I think you had a very robust revenue target
from out of home and you have just done 11 Crores against 12.5 Crores
sequentially. Is there a reason for the slowdown?
R.
K. Agarwal: Come again, I did not understand your point.
Yasmin:
Sir, earlier, you were targeting big revenues to come in from out
of home for this year.
R.
K. Agarwal: That is what we are doing because we targeted revenue
of about Rs. 45 Crore for the current year. We have already done
20. So we are very much in line with our expectations.
Yasmin:
And I did not get your answer toward the fact that out of home has
broken even this quarter?
R.
K. Agarwal: No, not yet, that is where we are lagging behind. But
we will continue to expect to see the breakeven may be this quarter
or next quarter.
Yasmin:
Okay. And sir, you said domestic newsprint prices were down by 5%.
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah.
Yasmin:
And international down around 10%, and what is your consumption
mix for domestic to import?
R.
K. Agarwal: Do not you think this is too much of the detailing?
Yasmin:
Sir, okay right sir, thank you.
Moderator:
Thank you very much maam. Next question comes from Mr. Brijesh
of Networth Stock Broking. Over to you sir.
Brijesh:
Hello sir.
R.
K. Agarwal: Hello.
Brijesh:
Just two questions sir, one would be on the I Next and City Plus
that we have launched. Sir, what kind of investment it would be
like total investment?
R.
K. Agarwal: Total investment?
Brijesh:
Total investment to these brands.
R.
K. Agarwal: I Next and City Plus are completely different business
models and they enjoy a lot of synergies within other brands in
terms of the infrastructure, in terms of so many things. So I mean
like if you ask me what exactly our expend on these two brands in
promoting this circulation and all that is in fact not going to
leave you anywhere because many of the investments which are being
laid by the company on other brand are being laid keeping using
requirements of these two brands. For example, I mean like we have
decided to add machine in Kanpur, Lucknow wherever we have to launch
I Next. That time if we did not have requirement of I Next we could
have gone for lower capital cost. So now it is very difficult to
identify what is exactly we have spent for the I Next.
Brijesh:
But on the marketing and admin cost, what kind of like additional
cost it will be having?
R.
K. Agarwal: Pardon.
Brijesh:
If you talk about the marketing cost and admin cost like to promote
these two things?
R.
K. Agarwal: I mean like both these brands require a lot of synergies
within other brand. The whole purpose was not only to increase the
share but to optimize the benefits from the existing infrastructure
which includes marketing and everything. Yes, they also have their
marketing needs but then they are depending lot on the existing
marketing team of Jagran.
Brijesh:
Okay, fine sir.
R.
K. Agarwal: So that is where the economy came in. If you ask me
I mean like we are incurring in a direct manner only a newsprint
cost and printing cost apart from definitely I mean like I Next
and City Plus both have editorial team so I mean like we are spending
on a editorial and on newsprint and printing cost, that is it other
revenues coming, just a marginal revenue which we are looking at.
Brijesh:
Right sir. Sir, one question on the newsprint cost, if you could
mention. Sir, what is the ration of imported to domestic newsprint?
R.
K. Agarwal: Yeah I just you know told Yasmin do not get in too much
of detailing. We used to share but then that has not been in fact
the people I am not talking about you guys but the competitors and
all you know featured it differently.
Brijesh:
Okay fine. Thank you very much sir.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. At this moment there are no further questions
from the participants. I will like to handover the floor back to
Mr. Vikash Mantri for final remarks.
Vikash
Mantri: Thank you everybody for participating in this conference
call. Have a good day. Thank you.
Moderator:
Ladies and gentlemen thank you for choosing WebEx Conferencing Service.
That concludes this conference call. Thank you for your participation.
You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you and have a nice day.
|