| Moderator
Good
evening ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Jagran Prakashan conference
call. I would like to hand over the proceedings to Mr. R.K. Agarwal.
Thank you and over to you sir.
R.K.
Agarwal
Welcome
ladies and gentlemen. I am R.K. Agarwal and with me is Mr. Shailesh
Gupta, Director, Marketing, and we will give you a brief review
of the business in the current quarter. I am sure you have all seen
the results.
The current quarter, i.e. the third quarter of the current fiscal,
witnessed continued recovery of circulation lost in the first quarter,
which happened after we implemented an increase in cover prices.
Now, the present levels are more or less the same as what had existed
prior to increasing the cover prices. We have further strengthened
our position in terms of circulation in Punjab. Outdoor and event
management activities have started gaining momentum. After launching
two editions of City Plus in September, we have now launched two
more editions of the publication during this quarter. In addition,
we have also launched our second brand, I-next, which we talked
about at the time of our IPO. This has been launched in Kanpur and
Lucknow. We have plans to launch five more editions, of which we
are planning to launch at least three more editions by the end of
this current fiscal. There was also a bonus issue during the current
quarter.
As far as pursuing the other objects of the IPO is concerned, during
the current quarter, we have made a utilization of about Rs 41 crore
of the IPO proceeds and there have been some advancement in monetising
www.jagran.com, which is the
largest Hindi news portal. We have also initiated steps to take
our 7272 service to the next level and we have already got Mr. Rajiv
Dhal on board with us for this purpose.
Now I will move over to the financial performance of the company.
During the current quarter, in comparison with the corresponding
quarter of the previous year, revenues have registered a growth
of 29.79%, circulation revenue grew by 3.63%, advertisement revenue
registered a growth of 28.53% and revenue from event management
activity increased by over 250%. Comparison of revenue from outdoor
activity with the corresponding quarter of the previous year might
not be true as there was virtually no activity in the last year.
Outdoor activity has given us revenue of about Rs 6 crore in the
current quarter, and it is expected to do still better in the fourth
quarter of current fiscal. As usual, growth in advertisements revenue
continued and it was mainly driven by combination of increase in
total space, particularly color space sold which increased by about
14%, as well as increase in advertisement rates. Growth in circulation
revenue was mainly due to improved per copy realization as a result
of increasing the cover prize in Feb 2006. Event management and
out-of-home advertising activities have picked up significantly
in the current quarter, in line with our expectations. Now, we have
over 700 sites in addition to advertising rights for Lucknow Railway
Station. We are in the process of acquiring a few more sites and
we expect to add about 100 sites in this quarter. With the sites
already in possession and negotiated,, revenue for next fiscal is
likely to be more than double of the revenue what we expect for
the current year. For the current year, the expected revenue from
outdoor business is about Rs 20 crore.
As against growth of 25.65% in revenues excluding other income,
there is an increase of 20.38% in total expenditure, which is mainly
attributed to the increase of 7.75% in raw material consumption,
25.37% in the staff cost, and 41.52% in other expenditure. The increase
in commercial raw material is mainly on account of increase in prices
and the staff cost increased due to annual increments ,recruitment
of employees for outdoor and event management activities and for
the new brands,i.e. City Plus and I-next, both of which were launched
in the last quarter. Increase in other expenditure is on account
of commencement of these new activities, increase in prices of stores
and chemical material, and direct outdoor and event management expenses.
With this, I would invite you all to ask any question that you may
have.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. We will now begin the Q&A interactive session.
First in line we have Mr. Richard D'Souza from Four Dimension.
Richard
D'Souza
Good
afternoon soon. Just a couple of questions. First thing I wanted
to know is that what is the ratio of color ad space to black and
white?
R.K.
Agarwal
At
the moment, color is roughly about 35% of the total space.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
That is throughout the week or particular days?
R.K.
Agarwal
I am
stating average for the period of nine months of the current fiscal.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
Second thing, I wanted to know what is the ratio between the ads
to the editorial content?
R.K.
Agarwal
Our
policy is editorial should be 60% and ad should be 40%, but presently
I don't think we have more than 30% or 32% of ad.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
You said there was about 14% increase in the color space, this was
as compared to the previous year?
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes.
14% growth in the color space was in relation to the corresponding
quarter of the previous year.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
Another thing sir, on your ad rates, last hike I think you had in
February 2006?
R.K.
Agarwal
No,
April.
Richard
D'Souza
April
2006 is it?
R.K.
Agarwal
We
never do it in February, normally we do it in April.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
So, this coming April also you may have another one?
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes.
And for any question relating to that I would request our Director
- Marketing, to respond.
Shailesh
Gupta
Hi,
how are you?
Richard
D'Souza
Yes,
fine sir.
Shailesh
Gupta
We
will be increasing our rates some time in March or April.
Richard
D'Souza
And
the last increase, which you did in April 2006, can you quantify
what would be the average percentage?
Shailesh
Gupta
See,
we increased the all-edition rates from Rs 1400 to Rs 1800 per column
square centimeter. But that cannot be taken as an average. What
we would say, the effective average increase would be in the range
of about 10%.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay
sir. That is it. I think I will come back later.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Ruchit Mehta from HSBC.
Ruchit
Mehta
Hi,
good evening sir. Congratulations on the results.
R.K.
Agarwal
Good
evening. Thank you very much.
Ruchit
Mehta
I just
joined a little late. So, if you could just give a little breakup
of your revenues in what were they in advertising, what were they
from systems, and also from outdoor and the event management business.
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes,
I can give you the breakup.
Ruchit
Mehta
Also
give the same breakup for the nine months.
R.K.
Agarwal
Would
you like to have it for nine months?
Ruchit
Mehta
This
quarter as well as nine months, both.
R.K.
Agarwal
Advertisement
revenue for three months of this quarter was Rs 103 crore and for
nine months it was Rs 284 crore. Circulation revenue for three months
was Rs 42.73 crore, and for nine months it was Rs 127.75 crore.
Outdoor was Rs 6.12 crore for three months and for nine months it
was Rs 10.70 crore.
Ruchit
Mehta
Event
management business?
R.K.
Agarwal
Event
management, for the last quarter it was Rs 2.19 crore and for nine
months it was Rs 4.03 crore.
Ruchit
Mehta
And
sir, could you just give a sense of what the margins are in the
outdoor business and the event management business?
R.K.
Agarwal
See,
the margins for outdoor and event management vary from case to case.
There is nothing fixed as such.Definitely, we have certain guidelines
given to our teams and they operate within that only.
Ruchit
Mehta
Okay.
And sir is it possible to get what kind of revenues City Plus had
in this quarter?
R.K.
Agarwal
City
Plus was launched mainly in the third quarter, I do not have a readily
available exact figure of its revenues. It is a number game and
as far as top line is concerned, it might not have contributed significantly
in three months. Roughly, it was about Rs 50 lakhs. Also note that
out of the four editions, some of them were launched in December
only.
Ruchit
Mehta
You
mentioned in your opening remarks somewhere that the newsprint costs
have gone up. Could you give a sense of what is per copy cost if
you take an average?
R.K.
Agarwal
See,
let me clarify to you. I never said newsprint cost has gone up in
the last quarter. I was just comparing the total cost with the corresponding
quarter of the previous year. In comparison with that, it was more,
but the third quarter has witnessed some fall in the newsprint prices.
The full effect of this was not seen in the third quarter, essentially
because we have first-in first-out method of inventory evaluation,
so that whatever old stock was lying that was consumed more in third
quarter. So, now the real impact of decline in newsprint prices
would be felt only in the fourth quarter.
Ruchit
Mehta
Okay.
And sir, can you sense what would be the newsprint cost per copy?
R.K.
Agarwal
Newsprint
cost per copy, I think this is too specific and in detail, We can
talk one to one about it. .
Ruchit
Mehta
Okay.
Thank you very much.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Abneesh Roy from Religare
Securities.
Abneesh
Roy
Good
evening sir. Congratulations on your good numbers
R.K.
Agarwal
Good
evening Abneesh. How are you?
Abneesh
Roy
Good
sir. Sir, this is regarding Hindi advertising versus English advertising.
We saw that Hindi advertising grew at 40% versus English at only
14%. That was 2005 versus 2004. Could you share the data regarding
2006, how Hindi has grown versus English, and what are the reasons
behind the faster growth of Hindi advertising?
R.K.Agarwal
See,
that fact still remains, but data are just to be out. These data
are available for the period January to December not for our fiscal.
Abneesh
Roy
The
first six months, the first nine months, you mean the data on that?
R.K.Agarwal
The
agencies are not compiling those data as yet,
Abneesh
Roy
And
sir, Hindustan has recently in the last two quarters launched some
new editions in western U.P., and U.P. is your biggest market in
terms of advertising revenue.
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
and they have also come to Kanpur which is still the most important
market for us.
Abneesh
Roy
So,
they are printing in western U.P. from their Noida facility. So
they will have that advantage of low printing cost because of the
same facility they are printing.
R.K.Agarwal
But
they cannot be as close to the audience as we are. We are very much
there in western U.P., we are very much there in Meerut. While they
will have to bring the copies from Noida, we are there to print
it and give to them at the earliest..
Abneesh
Roy
So,
they have not impacted you in terms of circulation revenue?
R.K.Agarwal
They
have not, because they have different strategy all together, and
wherever we are number one, they compete with our number two.
Abneesh
Roy
And
sir, any fresh data on Punjab where Dainik Bhaskar had painted the
pricing of Rs1, then you also had to lower your prices. What is
the current scenario?
R.K.Agarwal
As
a result of whatever competition that has taken place in the Punjab
market in the past seven years, we have become number one first
time in terms of circulation l, leaving even Punjab Kesari behind.
We are selling roughly about 3 lakhs copies there now.
Abneesh
Roy
But
it would be impacting your circulation within the U.P. definitely
having loss in circulation in terms of, because per copy would be
around Rs 4 or Rs 5, but it is only Rs1 which you are getting.
R.K.Agarwal
I did
not understand your point.
Abneesh
Roy
Sir,
per copy if you produce, you will have to incur around Rs 4 to Rs
5 as cost.
R.K.Agarwal
No,
this is not the fact. I mean we do not incur so much, anyway.
Abneesh
Roy
But
if you sell at Rs 1, isn't that hitting the bottom line?
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
that hits me. This is why you see third quarter at par with second
quarter, otherwise it would have been much better.
Abneesh
Roy
Correct.
So, this will impact even Q4 and may be even Q1 of FY08?
R.K.Agarwal
unlike
now, in Q4 or even Q1 of next year, it is not going to be major
issue for us because after we implement the increase in the advertising
tariff in April or March, as Mr. Shailesh has just indicated, then
the impact would be marginalized.
Abneesh
Roy
Okay
sir. Thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Ritesh from Dolat Capital.
Ritesh
Good evening sir. Congratulations on good numbers. Sir, our ad rates
are about Rs 1400 per square centimeter.
R.K.Agarwal
That
I said was for 2005-2006.
Ritesh
Okay.
This quarter we have advertisement revenue of about Rs 103 crore
and our advertisement space is about 25 million square centimeters?
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
I think what you said is right.
Ritesh
So,
I guess there has to be some correction?
R.K.Agarwal
In
what?
Ritesh
This
ad space of 25 million square centimeter, because then realization
comes to about Rs 40 odd.
R.K.Agarwal
No,
it is not that easy. Unlike, if you divide the gross value by the
total square centimeters published by us, it would take you nowhere.
Otherwise, you will get what you must be getting now i.e Rs 40 or
something of that sort. When I said Rs 1400 or Rs 1800, it is for
all editions. I had just simplified it to illustrate, but it never
happens like that.
Ritesh
So,
per square centimeter, it is Rs 40 realization, but just to deviate,
if I see a Deccan Chronicle recent QIP prospectus, the realization
comes to about Rs 300 over there. So, is this the difference between
English and Hindi?
R.K.Agarwal
No,
it is definitely not and more to this would be added by Mr. Shailesh.
Shailesh
Gupta
See,
how it works in the advertising rate, there are different components.
When we say 25 million square centimeter of space, that includes
the classified, matrimonial, government advertising, real estate
advertising and 25 million is of all the 30 editions put together,
right?
Ritesh
Yes.
Shailesh
Gupta
But
if you are doing a single rate, there is a rate of Rs 100 for a
matrimonial ad, which is Rs 100 has to be divided by all 30. So,
when I say Rs 1800 and when you divide it by the column centimeter
it is not coming correct because the rates which you have taken
is 25 million square centimeter divided by the rate. It does not
happen that way because they are of different rates, the government
rate is only may be 15% or 20% of this.
Ritesh
But
sir this claim would hold true for Deccan Chronicle also, because
even they would be having a different category of advertisement.
Shailesh
Gupta
No,
they do, but the Central Government rates will be same depending
on the circulation, but the state governments vary from state to
state.
Ritesh
Okay.
Ritesh
Okay
sir. I will send you that particular page from QIP placement.
R.K.Agarwal
You
send it to me, you are welcome, but let me tell you on comparison
of these rates, I do not know what parameters they have taken to
come to those rates and what parameters you are taking in order
to come to this rate. There are hundreds of permutations and combinations
and in our case these are in fact may be more than 10,000 permutations
and combinations for rates.
Ritesh
Okay,
definitely sir.
R.K.Agarwal
I have
250 sub editions. Kanpur main edition, has 13 sub editions. Then,
advertisement could be published in one single sub-edition only
for Rs 100. Jagran's rate cannot be compared with the newspaper
which has a circulation of six to seven lakh copies, and it has
may be 30 to 40 sub editions.
Ritesh
Definitely
sir. Sir, one last question on Jagran.com. Any strategy for commercial
exploitation?
R.K.Agarwal
There
has been some advancement in that respect. We have already firmed
up our strategy and we hope to start its implementation very soon,
I mean in this quarter. You might hear something good about it in
February itself.
Ritesh
Okay.
That would be absolutely fine, sir. Thank you very much.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Sahil Desai from Darashaw.
Sahil
Desai
Hi,
good evening.
R.K.Agarwal
Good
evening, Mr. Desai.
Sahil
Desai
I just
wanted some information on your mobile VAS business? What kind of
revenues are you getting currently, etc?
R.K.Agarwal
We
have taken Mr. Rajeev Dhal on board for VAS business, who is quite
experienced. And he has been entrusted the responsibility of taking
it to next level. We have made it as a separate profit center and
he is heading that profit center. So, now he is in the process of
putting the things in line, and I think in the month of March it
will take off.
Sahil
Desai
Okay.
So, right now there is nothing in terms of revenues accruing to
the company?
R.K.Agarwal
Revenue
is accruing. We are already into it. We launched the service in
March 2005 but Jagran's policy has always been to go slow initially.
We first get the experience and then we go whole hog . So, now the
right time has come for realizing the potential. Even without marketing
anything, we could generate revenue of about Rs 10 million last
year itself.
Sahil
Desai
Sorry,
how much?
R.K.Agarwal
Rs10
million, i.e. Rs 1 crore without making any real effort to market
it. This gave us the confidence to fine-tune the service as well.
Sahil
Desai
So,
this Rs 1 crore that you are saying, can you just give me an idea
of how . . .
R.K.Agarwal
We
have done billing I think up to December of about Rs 60 to Rs 70
lakhs
Sahil
Desai
Okay.
I just wanted to know how the revenue is shared, for your value
added services, for your short code, how much does the mobile operator
pay you?
R.K.Agarwal
Mr.
Desai, I do not think it would not be so easy to explain that. The
reason is we have tie-up with so many operators
Sahil
Desai
Can
you give me some average percentage?
R.K.Agarwal
It
varies from case to case. We have aggressive plans for the 7272
for 2007-08 and we are expecting a good amount of revenue, not only
in terms of the top line it is going to add, but also in terms of
addition to the bottom line. That would definitely be an amount
worth mentioning.
Sahil
Desai
Sure.
Okay, is it possible for you to give me some sort of average percentage
in terms of revenue sharing that you do across all operators? An
indicative figure?
R.K.Agarwal
That
is very very significant.
Sahil
Desai
All
right. Thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Dipen from First Global.
Dipen
Good
evening sir. Congratulations on your good set of numbers. First,
I want to ask what is the increase in circulation numbers we have
experienced in this quarter?
R.K.Agarwal
See,
in the first quarter, we had lost circulation of 7%. We have already
recovered about 4%. I mean we have recovered as much as we wished.
Dipen
Okay.
And what is the average newsprint cost per ton in this quarter?
R.K.Agarwal
In
this quarter the average newsprint cost was roughly about Rs 27
per kg.
Dipen
Okay,
sir, in dollar terms per ton?
R.K.Agarwal
If
you are talking about the prevailing purchase price, in the last
quarter it was about $600 and now it is $570.
Dipen
Sir,
how are you expecting it going forward, in the coming quarter or
two?
R.K.Agarwal
We
feel that this $570 should continue,
Dipen
Okay.
And why there is a significant increase in other expenditure and
it is actually going on increasing quarter by quarter?
R.K.Agarwal
Other
expenditure includes direct, event and outdoor expenses as well.
So, out of whatever amount has been shown there, , about Rs 7 crore
relate to only outdoor and event management activities. So, when
these activities step up, these expenses are going to increase.
Dipen
Okay.
Then going forward in next quarter, how do you think this expenditure
is still going to work?
R.K.Agarwal
See,
I am not worried about expenditure. When we sell more, we will buy
more. These are the direct expenses. These are the expenses, which
are in nature of paying for the sites, which we have taken on hire
and we have sold it to our clients. So, we are not worried about
increase in these expenses so long as we are able to realize it
from our customer.
Dipen
Okay.
So, l think in last quarter you have announced that they have already
achieved breakeven.
R.K.Agarwal
While
we were summing up September results, I mentioned they were expected
to achieve the breakeven in the current quarter, that is October
to December. , which they barely missed, .
Dipen
Okay,
sir, thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Mollick from Prabhudas
Leeladhar.
Mollick
Hello
sir, hi.
R.K.Agarwal
Hello.
Mollick
I just
wanted to know sir, you told that you charge Rs 1800 per square
centimeter as advertisement rate. Can you tell me what could be
the difference in advertisement rate in Hindi newspaper and English
newspaper sir?
R.K.Agarwal
Mr.
Shailesh will explain you all this.
Shailesh
Gupta
It
solely depends from market to market. If it is Times of India, it
could be probably two and half times more than ours, but in case
of Deccan Chronicle, it could be lower than ours, or it could be
a little higher. For Hindustan Times it could be of little more
premium, but a smaller English paper as Hindu may be lesser than
us. So, it all depends on the market and market scenario there.
Mollick
So,
going forward with such a huge readership base, what is the outlook
on advertisement rate? Like in percentage terms, how much it can
go up,etc.
R.K.Agarwal
Well,
it all depends, because the way Jagran ads are going up it will
keep going up even more. Right now we can afford this because of
our readership base and basically the rate is calculated on CPT
basis which is cost per thousand and as far as your cost per thousand
is under control, you should not have any problem in increasing
the rates.
Mollick
Okay.
And sir, one more question. Looking at your past three quarters,
you have taken a bit hit on EBITDA margin which has come down from
26% to 18%. Is it usually because of your selling and administrative
expenses, which are going up significantly?
R.K.Agarwal
It
is not administrative expenses. That is not the major reason. While
discussing the first quarter results, we clearly mentioned that
the raw material cost was pretty low because we had lost the circulation
in the first quarter after resorting to increase in cover price.
And going forward, as we expected, circulation started recovering
because the cover prices started getting stabilized. So, when the
circulation has increased in the quarter ended 30th September as
well as quarter ended 31st December, the margins were to come down
slightly and that is what has happened. Another reason is the expenditure
on outdoor, which is at a fairly nascent stage. The same is expected
to breakeven or give some profit in Q4 of this fiscal. So, with
that activity turning into profit, the margins would automatically
improve. .
Mollick
Going
forward we can have 20+ margins in next quarter, once we have .
. .
R.K.Agarwal
I do
not see any reason why we cannot.
Mollick
Okay,
sir. Thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have a followup question from
Mr. Richard D'Souza of Four Dimensions.
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
Mr. D'Souza.
Richard
D'Souza
Sir,
these are some questions regarding your readership figures. I saw
somewhere on a September 2006 survey, that your readership was around
21.16 million, and your nearest competitor I think so had a readership
of about 20.95 million.
R.K.Agarwal
Yes.
Shailesh
Gupta
Is
it NRS you are talking about?
Richard
D'Souza
Yes,
NRS readership survey. So, I just wanted to know a couple of things
here. What is the situation now?
R.K.Agarwal
It
is the same way. But this is about NRS. However, now as the advertisers
and everybody have started recognizing only one source of readership,
that is IRS, so we have also started quoting those figures only.
You find we are disclosing only using the IRS survey results now.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
Another issue I just wanted to know, this is basically the ratio
between your circulation figures and the readership figures, which
is quite high for a newspaper. It may have something to do with
the states in which you are present or to do with the . . .
Shailesh
Gupta
If
you look at any regional newspaper readership vis-à-vis circulation,
it is always higher than what you see in case of English newspaper.
In the case of Hindi, it is typically taken as 7 to 8 per copy.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
This do you think in the future, I mean as income levels go up,
do you think it . . .
Shailesh
Gupta
It
should go down.
Richard
D'Souza
It
should go down, okay.
Shailesh
Gupta
Possibility
is you know lot of facts before it happens.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
Just one last question, this is on your cost structure. A preliminary
look at your cost structure vis-à-vis your competitors, it
reveals that there seems to be a lot of vertical integration in
your entire manufacturing operation or your newspaper making operation.
What is the management strategy going to be, is that going to continue
over next few years or do you expect that to reduce?
RK
Agarwal
See,
as far as the vertical expansion is concerned, that phase is already
over in the fiscal 2005-2006. Now, what we look for is wherever
there is a need, we will have the edition, not otherwise. And now
what is happening is like in the current year also, we have added
three editions; one was in Indore in an associate company and another
was in Siliguri, and one more in Amritsar. But now what will happen,
if we keep adding one or two editions like what we have done in
the current year. That is not going to impact us as significantly
as when we were adding 10 editions or 12 editions in just two years
time or three years time. This is because the base was small and
we had more editions, which were not matured. So, if we were adding
new editions, they were impacting us quite significantly. But now
with the larger base, more and more editions maturing, even though
we add a couple of editions every year, it is not going to impact
us that much.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay
sir. Sir, if I put this question in another way, while looking at
your cost structure, what one feels is that you do a lot of printing
of the editions in-house. Is there any plan to change that to outsourcing
the printing work and all that?
R.K.Agarwal
That
we did first time in Siliguri in the current year, when we went
for HT model, and we outsourced it to some outside printer. What
prompted us to go for this was that the print order was not very
high in Siliguri, it was about 20,000 copies. So, there we could
have depended on an outsider, but for crucial towns, crucial places,
where we have significantly higher print order, we would like to
do it ourselves, instead of depending on others because newspaper
is a thing which has to be supplied on time, which has to be printed
well. We have always maintained a standard in this regard, and would
not compromise on it.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay.
Just another question. This is regarding the recent talks regarding
your INM to increase stake in Jagran Prakashan.
R.K.Agarwal
Independent
wanted to increase its stake in Jagran Prakashan Limited, but SEBI
rejected its application to do so without an open offer.
Richard
D'Souza
And
sir, what about your plans to launch Independent, the facsimile
edition?
R.K.Agarwal
There
are certain administrative hitches(govt.) at the moment. Once these
are resolved, we will print that.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay
sir. Thank you and all the best.
R.K.Agarwal
Thank
you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Karthik from Sunidhi.
Siddharth
Karthik
Hi,
this is Siddharth Karthik calling. I have a couple of questions
sir. Could you just tell me about the margins in the color advertisement
and black and white advertisement?
R.K.Agarwal
The
difference between color and black and white, is the difference
between the cost of color and black ink that is all, which is very
insignificant.
Siddharth
Karthik
No,
no. I was just wondering about the operating margins in these two
segments basically. We all know that the margins are high in color.
R.K.Agarwal
What
we have to incur in case of color advertisement is some additional
cost on account of ink. As far as the revenue is concerned, I mean
there we have not less than 30% to 40% premium over the black and
white and in some cases it is even more than 50%.
Siddharth
Karthik
Okay.
And secondly sir, about this PBIT at Rs 34 crore in this quarter,
if we exclude that other income of Rs 7 crore, could you be able
to give the breakup between subscription and advertisement revenue?
R.K.Agarwal
Advertisement
revenue Rs 103 crore.
Siddharth
Karthik
No,
no. This is about top line. I am talking about EBITDA which is Rs
34 crore. So, could you be able to give us the breakup between what
will be the EBITDA on account of subscription as well as on advertisement.
R.K.Agarwal
You
see Mr. Karthik, in fact in the newspaper industry, we have minus
EBITDA in case of subscription.
Siddharth
Karthik
Okay,
thank you sir.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Dipen Mehta from Dipen
Mehta Shares.
Dipen
Mehta
Sir,
can you give me a breakup of this other income of Rs 7.60 crore?
R.K.Agarwal
Out
of this Rs 7 crore odd, roughly about 70% should be on account of
treasury income.
Dipen
Mehta
Treasury
is 70%?
R.K.Agarwal
Yes.
Dipen
Mehta
Okay
sir. And also you know, you said that now color advertising is accounting
for 35% of the advertising spend. I want to know how high one can
expect this to go?
R.K.Agarwal
As
far as color advertising is concerned, 35% is color in terms of
space and 65% is black and white in terms of space only, but as
far as value is concerned, color should be contributing more than
45%, in terms of value.
Dipen
Mehta
How
high can that go? When you say 25:75, that has been of course increasing
every quarter.
R.K.Agarwal
See,
we are increasing our color capacities because we have already exhausted
whatever capacity we have. So, going forward next year itself, we
expect this 35% to go up to say 40-42%. In fact, we lose color advertisement
because we do not have printing capacity.
Dipen
Mehta
And
sir the next question relates to the use of IPO funds to the tune
of Rs 300 crore. Any thoughts on how you are going to use that money
and on the other hand you say that you have constraints on color
printing.
R.K.Agarwal
We have placed orders for machines worth over Rs 100 crore, some
of those have already come in in the third quarter, but machines
worth about Rs 60 crore or so are yet to be received. But we are
quite hopeful that by June 2007, we would be completing this expansion.
Another thing is that we had earmarked some money for joint ventures
and acquisitions. There are talks, which are at an advanced stage
and may be very soon, may be within this month only we will finalise
some deal like that.
Dipen
Mehta
Sir,
as I understand we more or less cover the entire Hindi belt either
through our own edition or then it is sent by post or some other
means. So, I mean just looking at two-three years down the road,
in that number of editions could increase by how much, because at
some stage you will reach saturation because almost every single
city you would have or whatever town you would have covered.
R.K.Agarwal
See
Mr. Mehta, expansion is not the only thing in absence of which we
would feel saturated or something of that sort. We have 2 crore
odd readers and still we have not monetized even 50% of those numbers,
right.
Dipen
Mehta
What
do you mean by monetized 50%?
R.K.Agarwal
See,
when you look at Times of India readership number, they are having
80 lakhs readers. As against this' they have more than Rs 1000 crore
advertisement revenue. Why this is happening is because they are
operating from those towns which are nearing saturation. Jagran
is operating in those towns where in fact the things are improving.
So, with the overall growth in these areas of operation, more and
more of these numbers are going to get monetized. Secondly, we are
aiming at maximizing our share in the existing markets. This we
plan to achieve with the launch of I-next and City Plus.
Dipen
Mehta
Yes,
I got the answer. And, you just mentioned earlier in the call that
you are now going to be governed by the IRS. So, can you have the
IRS numbers the latest available with you sir?
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
figure stated in the press release is the latest number, that is
roughly about 1.81 crore.
Dipen
Mehta
Versus
the nearest competitor?
R.K.Agarwal
That
is Bhaskar, which has come down further. The distance has increased
further in the survey. I think they are at 1.41 crore.
Dipen
Mehta
Fine.
And do you think that 10% to 12% advertising increases over a sustained
period of time are possible?
R.K.Agarwal
10%
to 12% you are talking about advertisement rates?
Dipen
Mehta
Yes,
advertisement rates
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
definitely. This year it could be still bigger.
Dipen
Mehta
And
sir, what about the manpower? Because everybody is expanding within
the industry. So, are you seeing any problems over there in terms
of getting the right reporters and also the right news, on the editorial
side?
R.K.Agarwal
We
do not face as much problem as any smaller press will face because
Jagran itself attracts editorial people. We already have sort of
a nursery to produce these editorial talents. We have the Jagran
Management Institute from which nearly 100 students are passing
out every year. So, that is a very good and sound backup to us.
As it is also, even when we did not have this management institute
(which has been running for last two years), we never had any problem
on account of editorial talent or human resources.
Dipen
Mehta
Thank
you and all the best. I may have some questions, I will come back
later.
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
please. Thank you very much.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Shishank from BBAV.
Shishank
Sir,
could you reveal the numbers with regards to cash on books and the
total debt that you have right now?
R.K.Agarwal
Total
debt is about Rs110 crore. And we have roughly about Rs 290 crore
cash in books.
Shishank
Rs
290 crore of cash?
R.K.Agarwal
Yes,
cash.
Shishank
I see,
okay. Thanks a lot sir. That would be all. Thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Mr. Manish from Brics Securities.
Manish
Hello.
Sir, just wanted to check on the outdoor advertising. When we take
up the sites, are we capitalizing the license rights for multi-year
period of time?
R.K.Agarwal
We
are charging it off to revenue, whatever rental we are paying every
month, even though we have not sold it, they are lying vacant. Being
a conservative accountant, we always write it off, the moment we
find it has accrued.
Manish
And
typically how long are these contracts for?
R.K.Agarwal
They
vary from one year to five years
Manish
Okay,
sir. That is all.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next in line, we have Ms. Yasmin Shah from Alchemy.
Yasmin
Shah
Hello
sir. My question is basically on your editions. How many of them
are loss making still? Of your total editions, how many have been
loss making?
R.K.Agarwal
There
are about 7 to 8 editions.
Yasmin
Shah
Which
are still loss making?
R.K.Agarwal
Yes.
Yasmin
Shah
And
when do you expect them to breakeven?
R.K.Agarwal
See,
as we always said, typically it takes three to four year's time,
an edition to mature. Whatever editions are in loss at the moment,
they are all those which were launched since 2003, except one. Out
of these 7 to 8 editions, we expect at least 3 to 4 turning into
profit in next year or so, and remaining 3 to 4 which were launched
essentially last year or in the current year, they could take another
2 to 3 years
Yasmin
Shah
Okay.
My next question pertains to your out-of-home revenue, what kind
of competition you are foreseeing and what kind of growth are you
foreseeing in the market per se, for out-of-home?
R.K.Agarwal
See
for out-of-home, as of now the base is very small. For the current
fiscal, we may be doing outdoor of Rs 20 crore. Next year, we have
very very aggressive targets. In the next or two years or so, we
have plans to take it to around Rs 100 crore. So we plan to reach
a reasonable level by 2008-2009. Thereafter, we will definitely
think about what should be the growth rate. At this juncture, we
are very aggressive on this.
Yasmin
Shah
Okay.
Once you start breaking even, what do you think are the sustainable
margins in this business?
R.K.Agarwal
. It
should not be less than 15% to 20% at net profit level.
Yasmin
Shah
Okay.
In smaller towns, a lot of people have got into radio business,
I mean you have Adlabs coming in, and you have Radio Mirchi crawling
to smaller towns. They are essentially talking of taking away market
from the print media. So, how would we be tackling competition?
R.K.Agarwal
Let
us wait and see because this is what they have to say and they are
saying. Like, Radio Mirchi is so successful in Mumbai, has Times
of India suffered any way? In Delhi as well, radio has been so popular,
but Hindustan Times and TOI both are growing day by day, Jagran
is growing day by day in Delhi, and more and more players are coming
in Delhi as well. We are hearing about Times of India launching
a tabloid, why would they do that if radio would be a threat to
them. And then, look at the international scenario also. Radio could
be new to India, but it is very old and very well accepted mode
of media in Europe. Newspapers are still flourishing there. So,
I do not think media like FM or TV or any other media, could be
a threat to print, and that is what we at Jagran firmly believe.
Moderator
Next
in line we have a followup question from Mr. Richard D'Souza of
Four Dimensions.
Richard
D'Souza
Sir,
this question was just to understand your nature of business. I
just wanted to know what events or what inflection point could be
there you know where the ad rate difference between a Hindi newspaper
and an English newspaper could narrow down?
Shailesh
Gupta
We
are already bridging the gap. Earlier, the English newspapers used
to be much more expensive than the Hindi newspapers or language
newspapers. Hindi markets are maturing now and have actually covered
the gap.
Richard
D'Souza
Are
we talking of cover prices here or the ad rates?
R.K.Agarwal
He
is talking about ad rates here. Cover price as it is have always
been way ahead of English.
Richard
D'Souza
Okay,
may be I will speak to you later on this topic. Thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. Next we have a followup question from Mr. Dipen
Mehta of Dipen Mehta Shares.
Dipen
Mehta
I just
want to understand apart from Jagran, what are the other media businesses
carried out in private companies of the group? Jagran of course
is a listed company, but which are the other media businesses that
are carried out privately by the promoters that are not there in
this company?
Shailesh
Gupta
One
is FM Radio, which is in one of the group companies. Our partners
in print, the Independent, have also joined us. They have also taken
a stake in FM Radio business as well. And apart from that promoters
hold 46% stake in IBN7.
Dipen
Mehta
That
is only two things, right?
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes,
that is the only two things. Because everything else as far as media
is concerned, is being done in listed company only, because we have
portal for which we have already firmed up our strategy and it is
going to be implemented soon. We have the short code service, out-of-home
business, event management arm and we have print.
Dipen
Mehta
And
sir, have you changed auditors recently?
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes,
PW has come in.
Dipen
Mehta
Okay.
They will be doing the audits for fiscal 2007 onwards.
Shailesh
Gupta
Yes.
They have done a limited review for September and they are already
on the job for December.
Dipen
Mehta
Any
particular reason for change of auditors?
R.K.
Agarwal
This
is something which we agreed to with our partners when they came-in
in 2005. But now, we also felt the need for giving more confidence
about the accounts and about the figures to the financial community,
and hence thought of having an international accountant with us.
Dipen
Mehta
And
sir, I know that they are the partners at this point of time, but
can you give what is their value addition to us given that already
we are the experts in this line, in fact, I would think that it
could be the other way round.
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes,
Mr. Dipen, you are absolutely right, as far as value addition is
concerned. Definitely, they have provided some international exposure,
like our team keeps going to their sites and have the onsite training.
So, we have got to learn many of the good practices, best practices,
without incurring any costs which otherwise would not have been
available to us. Then, they keep providing us certain ideas that
we adopt if we find it to be viable in the Indian context. So, there
is a regular exchange of information. Also, there are certain other
advantages out of their association. For example, we might start
printing the facsimile edition of Independent. At any later date,
supposing government permits to publish Independent from India,
I think we will be the first in line. They have also made contribution
to City Plus, which is a free-sheeter and being circulated at the
moment from four suburbs of Delhi, and we have had quite a successful
experience.
Dipen
Mehta
I just
want to know, FII cannot buy the shares, right?
R.K.
Agarwal
Yes,
I think already there is a stake of about 25.5% being held by Independent
plus other FIIs.
Dipen
Mehta
Okay,
sir. Thank you.
Moderator
Thank
you very much sir. At this moment, there are no further questions
from participants. I would like to hand over the floor back to Mr.
R.K. Agarwal for final remarks.
R.K.
Agarwal
Thank
you very much for being with us and we hope that we are living up
to the expectations of you all. Thank you very much.
Moderator
Ladies
and gentlemen, that concludes this conference call. Thank you for
your participation.
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