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Moderator:
Good afternoon. Welcome to Jagran Prakashan conference call. I would
like to hand over to Mr. R. K. Agrawal from Jagran Prakashan Ltd
(JPL).
R.
K. Agrawal: We welcome you all and wish you a very happy belated
Diwali. I have with me Mr. Shailesh.Gupta, our Marketing Director.
I will take you through Q2FY07 performance and thereafter we would
have Q&A session.
We
are happy to report that JPL has been able to achieve a top line
growth of over 28% in spite of the intensified competition and inspite
of the fact that second quarter traditionally is not considered
to be a very good one. The main drivers have been the advertising
revenue and the circulation revenue as usual, and in this quarter,
the outdoor advertising has also done well. Advertising revenue
during the second quarter as compared to corresponding quarter of
the previous year grew by over 30%. Circulation recorded a growth
of over 8% and out of home advertising, which was non existent in
the last year recorded a turnover of about Rs 4 crore. Apart from
these, the event management activities, which we started in the
last year itself, continued to perform well. SMS services could
not go to the next level in the second quarter but we are already
on to it and in coming times, we expect revenue growing from this
activity as well.
We
had a growth of about 135% in net profit and a 69% increase in the
operating profit. In order to address the question relating to lower
top line growth as compared to bottom line, I would like share with
you and bring to your notice a few points which would help you in
understanding the operative results in relation to the top line
in this quarter. As we said in the first quarter, there was a drop
in circulation. So this quarter witnessed the recovery of lost circulation
according to our expectation and as a result of that, the newsprint
expense increased by about Rs. 4-5 core as compared to the first
quarter. That was largely because of increase in the circulation.
Also, out of home advertising contributed significantly in the top
line but this activity contributed some loss. This business division
is expected to breakeven in October. This would be made more than
good in the second half of the fiscal. Apart from that, there were
some prior period expenses. By prior period expenses, I mean expenses
related to past years which got accounted for in the second quarter.
So, all these three factors put together have pulled down the profitability
a bit but I would like to say that the performance in the bottom
line is beyond our expectations. We were not expecting anything
beyond Rs. 15 core or so but ultimately with your good wishes, we
recorded about Rs. 17.5 cores. With this, I would now invite you
to throw up your questions.
Moderator: Thank you very much sir. First in line we have Mr. Bhaskar
from Kotak Securities.
Bhaskar:
Mr. Agrawal, if you could just give us the break up of the ad revenue
and the circulation revenue out of the total?
R.
K. Agrawal: Advertisement revenues were about Rs 92 crore and circulation
revenue was Rs 42 crore. The advertisement revenue of Rs 92 crores
means a growth of about 3% as compared to the first quarter.
Bhaskar:
Okay and what is the corresponding figure for the ad revenue in
the first quarter?
R.
K. Agrawal: Rs 90 crore
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line we have Deepan from First
Global.
Deepan:
Good evening sir, congratulations for your good set of numbers.
I just want to know which are the regions in which Jagran currently
holds leadership in terms of circulations?
R.
K. Agrawal: As far as the positioning is concerned, Jagran continues
to attain the number one position. Also, IRS round 2 for 2006 has
come in and it is the seventh time in a row that we have been rated
as the number one newspaper of the country. Another important thing
is that for the past seven rounds, we have been increasing the gap
between us and our closest competitor, and this time also we increased
it further. In fact, our number of readers as per latest round is
about 47 lacs more than our closest competitor, as against about
45 lacs last time.
Deepan:
Okay. Sir out of 31 editions, in how many regions we hold leadership
position?
R.
K. Agrawal: See, apart from UP and Delhi, we have gone to other
states quite recently, which is about 5 to 6 years back.
Deepan:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: And Jagran's strategy has never been to become number
one overnight
Deepan:
Okay
R.
K. Agrawal: Wherever we are, either we are number one or we are
strong number two.
Deepan:
Okay sir, I just want to know which regions performance actually
contributed less compared to our expectation in growth of circulation
revenue?
R.
K. Agrawal: Naturally, the maximum contribution is from UP, Uttaranchal,
but all other states have also started to contribute significantly.
In fact, their contribution has been increasing year after year,
which is what we had planned for.
Deepan:
Okay sir. Could we have some data like how much ad space you have
sold and how much is the average increase in ad rates also?
R.
K. Agrawal: There is a growth of nearly 10% in the total space sold.
Deepan:
Okay
R.
K. Agrawal: Right now, I am talking about second quarter only in
comparison with the corresponding quarter of previous year.
Bhaskar:
Okay
R.
K. Agrawal: There was growth of nearly 10% as far as the overall
space is concerned.
Deepan:
Absolute numbers?
R.
K. Agrawal: Our total advertisement revenue has grown by about 30%
as compared to the corresponding quarter last year. So, if 10% is
on account of the space sold, remaining is on account of increase
in the ad-rate and also in conversion of black &white into color.
Bhaskar:
What is the average price of newspaper per ton in this quarter as
compared to the last year?
R.
K. Agrawal: There is an improvement on that account because in the
last year we had per copy realization of about Rs 1.85 paisa or
so, and this time it is Rs 2.05 paisa
Deepan:
I would like to know the average price of newsprint
R.
K. Agrawal: I can tell you that there was an increase of about 10%
in the news print prices as compared to the corresponding quarter
last year
Deepan:
Okay, what is the proportion of imported and indigenous consumption
on newsprint last quarter?
R.
K. Agrawal: The imported consumption quantity is between 25%-30%
Deepan:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: As in the first quarter
Deepan:
How do you see the position of the print industry. Is it gaining
or losing market share in total?
R.
K. Agrawal: We don't see any such possibility of print losing to
another media or something like that
Deepan:
Why I am asking this question is because radio operators claim that
they might gain 15% of total ad spend over a period of five years.
R.
K. Agrawal: I would request our marketing director to throw some
light on this.
Shailesh
Gupta: Hi, I am Shailesh Gupta this side. The radio is extremely
popular and radio advertising has a very, very good potential. But
the potential is not that where it will be a threat to print or
television. It will never be a threat. It will always be a complementary
medium of advertising.
Deepan:
Okay.
Shailesh
Gupta: Since radio is a new and a very virgin field in India, hence
the advertising in radio is growing much faster as against print
or television. But the entire pie, if you really convert to the
rupee, their part is pretty small. So it will never be a threat.
Deepan:
Do you think that overall market as such will improve in that period?
Shailesh
Gupta: Market will improve, I believe
Deepan:
Okay Sir
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next line is Mr. Ritesh Poladia from K
R Choksey.
Ritesh:
Good set of numbers. Just wanted to know about Jagran Engage. From
how many sites did this Rs 4 crore revenue come?
R.
K. Agrawal: We already have over 500.
Ritesh:
How many will have actual advertisement?
R.
K. Agrawal: At the moment, I don't have that number.
Ritesh:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: The point is that all these sites have been acquired
either in late first quarter or in the second quarter but there
is always a time gap between when you acquire and when you sell.
If they get sold, they could fetch lease rentals of about Rs 24
crore per annum.
Ritesh:
Just 500 sites will have about Rs 24 crore?
R.
K. Agrawal: not less than 24
Ritesh:
How would be lease rentals for these sites?
R.
K. Agrawal: I did not understand your question because this rental
varies from site to site and location to location, there is no standard
parameter.
Ritesh:
Okay, but there would be some function like between realization
and lease rentals.
R.
K. Agrawal: Are you talking about the margins?
Ritesh:
Yes
R.
K. Agrawal: This we would not like to disclose as it is a trade
secret.
Ritesh:
Another question was on City Plus. How it is doing?
R.
K. Agrawal: City Plus has received tremendous response. You will
see some more action on that front.
Ritesh:
So this is a 100% advertisement revenue model.
R.
K. Agrawal: It is 100% advertisement revenue model but unlike a
free-sheeter, it carries at least 30% to 40% editorial content as
well.
Ritesh:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: This is the USP of City Plus.
Ritesh:
Is City Plus to be distributed only to the focus audience.
R.
K. Agrawal: I will request Mr. Shailesh Gupta to say something on
this.
Shailesh
Gupta: Yes, you are right. This paper is distributed free but it
is not distributed to everybody. It has a very focused target group
.
Ritesh:
Okay.
Shailesh
Gupta: And average age bracket of 18 to 35 years
Ritesh:
Advertisement realization here would be far higher than what you
must be realizing from Dainik Jagran?
Shailesh
Gupta: No, it is not like that. For Jagran, the advertising rates
are much, much higher. Because of the sheer volume, we cannot compare
it . Gurgaon, where we are distributing just between 35,000 or 50,000
whereas Jagran is selling much more. So we cannot compare this one
R.
K. Agrawal: There is no competition. It was never aimed for.
Shailesh
Gupta: It was always a second newspaper and never the primary newspaper.
It is complementary media.
R.
K. Agrawal: In case of City Plus, we have say 30% or 40% editorial
content. In case of Jagran, it is the other way round. We cannot
compare it with City Plus. City Plus is a tabloid, a compact paper.
Ritesh:
Okay sir and you still have low price edition, which will be a second
fiddle to Dainik Jagran, that idea is still on?
R.
K. Agrawal: That idea cannot be dropped because that is going to
be a very, very major project. That is something different. City
Plus came in between which we never talked about.
Ritesh:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: It was surprise for everyone. As far as second brand
is concerned, it could also see the light of the day very shortly,
say in a month's time.
Ritesh:
Okay, final question any outlook on news print?
R.
K. Agrawal: Now going forward, we don't foresee any further increase
in news print prices
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next is Mr. Abneesh from Religare.
Abneesh:
If we compare the English newspaper versus the Hindi newspaper,
the subscription rate of Hindi newspaper is much higher and comparing
advertising, in Hindi newspaper is around 60% to 65%, while in case
of Deccan Chronicle, which is purely English, around 93% is coming
from advertising. You also plan to launch your low cost newspaper
in Hindi. So, in 3 years, do you think your component of advertising
versus the subscription will also change drastically or it will
remain in the 60%-65% range advertising and 35% in subscription.
R.
K. Agrawal: The question raised by you needs to be explained in
detail, which I can reply when we meet one to one.
Abneesh:
Sure sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: As of now, just one thing needs to be corrected...Second
newspaper is not going to be a newspaper in Hindi alone.
Abneesh:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: It could be bilingual newspaper.
Amish:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: There could be certain article, which people would love
to read in English, so they would be available in English.
Abneesh:
Okay, thank you sir.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line is Sridhar Sivaram from Morgan
Stanley.
Sridhar:
Hi, just continuing with earlier question on comparisons, to compare
your company's EBIDTA margin with Deccan, there seems to be a large
difference. They are almost in 45% range and large gap seems to
be coming from staff and other expenditure: in staff, almost there
is 8% to 9% difference. In yours, these expenditures and also the
other expenditure appears to be almost 26% of the revenue as compared
to 5 %-6% for competitor. Can you just explain why such a big difference?
I thought the staff cost for vernacular should have been lesser
compared to an English newspaper, may be my understanding is wrong,
but can you just explain how?
R.
K. Agrawal: Mr. Sridhar, now that you are talking about comparison,
let me clarify to you that Deccan Chronicle and Jagran in fact do
not have comparison whatsoever.
Sridhar:
Right
R.
K. Agrawal: Your are comparing a newspaper selling about 7-8 lacs
copies or 8-9 lacs copies with a newspaper which has circulation
of over 2.5 millions copies. So, that in itself replies to your
question, in the sense why we have an expenditure level like this.
We have 31 editions. I don't know for sure how many editions they
have, but definitely they don't have more than 6-7 editions including
Chennai.
Sridhar:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: We are printing newspaper from 30 locations.
Sridhar:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: They are printing newspaper from 6-8 locations. So there
is no comparison.
Sridhar:
Right and what about the total number of employees? It could be
one of the reasons that you have more employees because you are
having more printing locations.
R.
K. Agrawal: See we have more establishments, we have higher circulation,
we have larger scale- much, much larger scale than any newspaper
that the country has.
Sridhar:
But revenues are almost the same?
R.
K. Agrawal: Revenues have to be the same to begin with. In times
to come, you would see how the growth story of Jagran unfolds in
times to come.
Sridhar:
Right.
R.
K. Agrawal: Then definitely, you can expect that kind of revenues
in times to come because things have started changing for newspapers
like ours.
Sridhar:
Just for my record, what is the total number of employees that you
have currently?
R.
K. Agrawal: We have roughly about 6000(direct and indirect)
Sridhar:
Okay. Thank you very much.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next is Mr. Girish Bhai from East India
Securities.
Girish:
Sir, you have about 31 editions. How many of them have broken even
at this point in time?
R.
K. Agrawal: See the editions which were launched in past three-four
years are nearing the break even level There are about 12 yet to
break even.
Girish:
Okay. The rest actually break even.
R.
K. Agrawal: Some of them have already achieved the break even and
some of them have come in profit.
Girish:
Okay and this 12 editions, when do you expect all of them to break
even ?
R.
K. Agrawal: As I already said, after three to four years time when
an edition is launched, it breaks even. But it varies from location
to location. If you are entering into a new state, like we went
to Bihar, Punjab in 2000, it takes a little more time. Also, in
the newspaper industry, if the competition is getting intensified
in any particular location, it might prolong the gestation period.
Girish:
Okay. Just on that particular point sir. In the Hindi newspaper
industry has the competitive intensity increased over the last one
year. What is your view on that?
R.
K. Agrawal: Oh, yes. It has increased tremendously. But still with
good wishes of you all, Jagran has been able to keep up with the
momentum.
Girish:
So, you think that it is the good GDP growth, which has led to the
ad rate hikes and circulation pricing?
R.
K. Agrawal: yes, GDP growth is definitely a reason. I mean when
the economy is booming, everybody is beneficiary. But apart from
that, the top player in the industry also has to have something
extra in particular which I believe Jagran has.
Girish:
From an impact perspective, what is the negative impact this higher
competitive intensity has had on you?
R.
K. Agrawal: Yes. It results in additional expenditure in form of
additional expense, in form of publicity. It results in reduction
in cover price at times. Definitely, it virtually affects the bottom
line. There is no doubt about it. But then the more important thing
is if we can survive to this kind of a competition then we would
be major winner in times to come.
Girish:
Sir, you launched City Plus and now you are coming up with facsimile
edition of Independent What is your strategic intent in the English
print media side? I mean not very clear on that.
R.
K. Agrawal: See, we are not averse to English but we have a firm
belief that Hindi in itself has a huge potential. So, if things
come our way, we take it up. For example, City Plus is an English
entertainment newspaper. We are not averse to English and since
Independent wants to launch facsimile edition in India and they
are our partners, they were very keen on launching it through us
only.
Girish:
So what kind of revenue did you get from this facsimile edition?
R.
K. Agrawal: These things are getting worked out. We have already
applied to Ministry of Information and Broadcasting and we are waiting
for the approval and in the meantime, Independent people are busy
on working out these details with us.
Girish:
Okay. Just a couple of questions for City Plus. What kind of add
revenues did it give this quarter?
R.
K. Agrawal: We launched its edition on September 23only and it is
a weekly paper, so it had only three editions by September 30.
Girish:
Okay. And sir what was the mix between domestic and imported newsprint
in this particular quarter in terms of newsprint versus last quarter?
R.
K. Agrawal: Imported was between 25-30. I do not have the exact
figure . In second quarter in fact it has slightly increased but
in the first quarter I think it was around 25% and now it has gone
up to say 27% to 28%.
Girish:
Sir, HT Media's Hindustan has become fully colored. Has that impacted
you in any way either in terms of business coming to you or ad rates
or cost or anything like that?
R.
K. Agrawal: You see, we increase the color capacity according to
the appetite of the market. In the past, we were able to print only
four pages, and then we increased it to six pages. Wherever there
was a demand, we increased it to 10 pages. Now we are increasing
it further to 16 pages. So, depending on the appetite of the market,
we take these decisions. We just do not go on converting the whole
paper into color. Otherwise you have excessive supply and definitely
you lose out of the premium, which we do not want.
Girish:
Okay sir. I will comeback later.
R.
K. Agrawal: Yeah.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next is Mr. Manish Gupta from CRISIL
Manish: Good afternoon Sir. First of all congratulations for wonderful
set of numbers.
R.
K. Agrawal: Thank you very much.
Manish:
Sir, we are given to understand that ad revenues had grown by 30%.
R.
K. Agrawal: Yeah.
Manish:
So just wanted to understand from you like what is the growth coming
from the local ad revenues as well as the national ad revenues?
R.
K. Agrawal: The revenue has come from both the markets: local and
national and definitely local has grown more than the national,
which is the real story in our area of operations.
Manish:
Okay. In terms of proportionate increase, is it substantially higher
in local or can you put it in a number?
R.
K. Agrawal: About 2 -2.5 years back, national was 55 and local was
45. Now it is other way round.
Manish:
Okay and just wanted to have some feedback from you on sustainability
of the operating margins which we are seeing presently.
R.
K. Agrawal: I have explained in the beginning itself that this time,
our operating margins have been a affected by two-three factors
and either of them never repeats. This was for one time, for example
accounting certain expenses, which were relating to the previous
year.
Manish:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: However, having said that these margins are sustainable
provided competition remains rationale
Manish:
Okay. And lastly sir, would you be looking at any inorganic growth
opportunities?
R.
K. Agrawal: Inorganic growth opportunities are available in the
form of City Plus, in the form of second brand which we are going
to launch shortly. In fact, for out-of-home advertising business,
there is an inorganic growth possibility.
Manish:
And any plans of acquisition of any brand?
R.
K. Agrawal: That is very much on. We are actually considering some
of the proposals
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next is question from Mr. Bhaskar from
Kotak Securities.
Bhaskar:
Mr. Agarawal, how much were prior period expenses incurred in the
last quarter.
R.
K. Agrawal: That was roughly Rs 18 million.
Bhaskar:
Okay and what about this new newspaper that you are going to launch
at low cost version? Would that be a Hindi newspaper?
R.
K. Agrawal: It is going to be a bilingual newspaper.
R.
K. Agrawal: What do you mean by that?
R.
K. Agrawal: Bilingual does not mean that we will write one word
in Hindi and another word in English. What we mean is that those
sections which people would love to read in English, will be supplied
in English and whatever people love to read in Hindi that will be
supplied in Hindi.
Bhaskar:
So, basically the same newspaper will have stories in both languages?
R.
K. Agrawal: Yes, in both languages.
Bhaskar:
And what markets are you targeting for the launch of this newspaper?
R.
K. Agrawal: Our marketing director has explained a few minutes ago.
I will request him to repeat again.
Shailesh
Gupta: It will be the metro towns of the other states. Yes, like
in UP it could be larger towns like 15 lacs- lacs plus towns. Same
with the other states and it will be targeted towards a particular
age group.
Bhaskar:
Okay.
Shailesh
Gupta: An average bracket of 18 to 35.
Bhaskar:
So basically you are trying to target the English reader as well
from this?
Shailesh
Gupta: Well, I wish I could say that, but English readership does
not exist in these markets.
Bhaskar:
Okay.
Shailesh
Gupta: So what we are targeting is basically the core target audience
group which advertisers are looking at and who are our premium targets
Bhaskar:
And when do you expect this to be launched?
Shailesh
Gupta: Sometime in this quarter.
Bhaskar:
Right. And what sort of one time expenses would be incurred in terms
of set up cost, etc.?
R.
K. Agrawal: The setup cost for the second brand is not much. What
we have to create is an independent editorial team and independent
profit center head. That is it.
Bhaskar:
Okay.
R.
K. Agarwal: So whatever additional cost is required, we are incurring
capex in such a manner that it helps not only the second brand,
but helps our mother brand as well.
Bhaskar:
Right. Would this impact your margins may be in the next couple
of quarters and we could see the margins come back to normalcy?
R.
K. Agrawal: Yes. It would impact but I am quite hopeful that my
incremental revenues in the coming quarters would take care of that.
Bhaskar:
Okay. Thank you.
Moderator: Thank you very much sir. Next is Priyanka Sinha of ING
Vysya.
Priyanka:
Good afternoon sir. My first question is what are the challenges
you are seeing from the local TV channels with leading broadcaster
you were talking about?
R.
K. Agrawal: This is a very, very long drawn debate. You know like
print versus TV or print versus radio or print versus internet.
I can say only one thing, the whole world has witnessed that for
sometime the newspaper might get hit, but ultimately it is the newspaper
only which most people go for.
Priyanka:
So you are in that growth rate which we are seeing currently in
the ad revenue
R.
K. Agrawal: If we go back to 90s or early 2000s there was a TV boom
definitely. At that stage perhaps the newspaper industry did not
grow at the same pace at which Television industry was growing,
but now again it has come back to original levels or rather the
print industry is growing faster I would say.
Priyanka:
Kindly give me some idea on selling and distribution cost because
that figure is not given separately.
R.
K. Agrawal: The selling and distribution cost is included in other
expenses. I would like to explain to you as to what selling &
distribution expenses are in the newspaper industry. Distribution
means whatever commissions we pay for distribution of the newspaper.
Whenever we send it to the neighboring places, we incur expenses
on taxis and there also may be some other expenses for distributing
locally.
Priyanka:
Yeah.
R.
K. Agrawal: I am talking as to what is distribution.
Priyanka:
Free copies?
R.
K. Agrawal: No. Cost of free copies does not form part of the selling
and distribution expenses. We do not give a value, we do not value
it and therefore we do not account it for as an expense.
Priyanka:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: As far as we are concerned we do distribute free copies
to certain people in the town because they are from administration
or they are valued customers or something like that. It is only
out of a goodwill gesture that we distribute it free, otherwise
we do not distribute free copies to promote our sales.
Priyanka:
Okay, so this City Plus editions which you have distributed in Noida
and Gurgaon?
R.
K. Agrawal: You see that is altogether different and that has a
different business plan. That is based on advertisement revenue.
That has got nothing to do with the pricing of the newspaper. That
is another brand.
Priyanka:
Okay. Will you say about 5 percentage of revenue.
R.
K. Agrawal: City Plus since it was----
Priyanka:
No, no not City Plus. I am saying that selling and marketing cost
will be about 5 percent of revenues?
R.
K. Agrawal: In case of City Plus?
Priyanka:
No, no overall.
R.
K. Agrawal: Overall, yes it would be less than 5% in our case and
in case of others it could be more.
Priyanka:
Okay and sir what was the reason behind 16% increase in other expenses
quarter-on-quarter?
R.
K. Agrawal: Actually, the other expenses include somewhere about
Rs 20 million on account of past years expenses.
Priyanka:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: These expenses relate to the earlier years. Other expenses
also include pay outs on our sites, which we have taken for letting
out to the people, i.e, the out-of-home advertising. So, rental
payments for those sites are also included in this. Since this activity
has picked up only in the second quarter, more expenses on account
of that are.there. These are the two reasons for this.
Priyanka:
Okay. can you give me the break up of other income?
R.
K. Agrawal: Other income is essentially interest or dividend on
IPO proceeds. 90% of that is only an account of that.
Priyanka:
Okay. What is the cash in our books as of now?
R.
K. Agrawal: Cash in our books is roughly about Rs 300 crores.
Priyanka:
Okay and what is the yield on this cash?
R.
K. Agrawal: The yield on the cash net of tax should be within the
range of about 6% at the moment.
Priyanka:
Okay thank you very much sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: Thank you.
Moderator:
Thank you very much madam. Next in line is Mr. Vikas Mantri from
SBI Caps.
Vikas:
Hello, good afternoon sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: Good afternoon Vikas.
Vikas:
Sir, just wanted to know that we have talked about an increasing
intensity of competition. Can you give the feel in which specific
pockets are we seeing a higher presence and from which player is
this increasing competition?
R.
K. Agrawal: Yes Vikas, in fact because of our spread you know over
11 states we have different competitors in different states. Name
any brand, they are our competitors. Right?
Vikas:
True sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: So like for one part in UP, Uttaranchal etc it is Hindustan.
Vikas:
True.
R.
K. Agrawal: Right. Somewhere we have Amar Ujala. In Punjab, we have
Punjab Kesari and now Bhaskar has come in.
Vikas:
True sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: So whenever there is a new entrant in a particular state,
the intensity of the competition increases
Vikas:
Okay sir, can you give me what could be the worst case additional
expenditure to meet this kind of competition?
R.
K. Agrawal: It varies from competitor to competitor, right. I would
not like to comment on these aspects but what I can say is that
so long a competitor maintains good business practices, it is always
affordable.
Vikas:
True.
R.
K. Agrawal: Whatever expenses have come in the second quarter, we
could not expect more than that even in the remaining half of the
current year. Plus minus 5%-10% is not something I am talking about.
Vikas:
Fine sir, can you give me this quarter circulation number and how
do we see it for the yearend?
R.
K. Agrawal: If you recall, while discussing the results for the
first quarter, I had mentioned that second quarter is going to witness
regaining of the loss in the circulation, a result of increase in
the cover price in the month of February and this is what has happened.
In fact, in the second quarter itself, there is a jump of about
5%.
Vikas:
Okay
R.
K. Agrawal: In the circulation numbers, if we compare the circulation
for the current quarter with the corresponding quarter of the previous
year, the total circulation for Dainik Jagran brand has increased
by about 6%.
Vikas:
Okay. So how do you see it by the end of the year? Do you see you
would require an increase in circulation for the next half of the
year?
R.
K. Agrawal: I do not think there will be any further increase required
but whatever organic growth happens, that you cannot stop nor you
would advise anybody to stop that organic growth. We had an average
of 6% for the second quarter and lost circulation of about 7% in
the first quarter. on year on year basis we might be standing at
a gain of say 2% to 3%.
Vikas:
Okay, okay. Thank sir. Thank you a lot.
Moderator:
Next is a follow up question from Mr. Girish Bhai of East India
Securities.
Girish:
Just wanted to come back to the competition intensity question.
Are you seeing pricing discipline being maintained on across the
different markets. Sir, do you think some place is behaving differently
R.
K. Agrawal: You see, it is very difficult to comment upon the competitor's
strategy, particularly when we look at the potential available in
our areas of operation, but then we are prepared to take on any
competition.
Girish:
Okay, okay. Sir, you mentioned about acquisition. You are looking
at acquisitions. Can you just tell us what exactly you have in mind
in terms of target potential?
R.
K. Agrawal: We have already been working on a few proposals and
we are still working on a couple of them. In fact, I did mention
at the time of IPO itself where there is synergy and wherever we
feel that we can increase the profitability of that particular target
company, we will definitely join hands with them.
Girish:
So this will be largely Hindi language based
?
R.
K. Agrawal: Not specifically. It could be anything.
Girish:
Okay. Sir, I just want to check upon the newsprint prices versus
Q1. I think it was $630 per ton. What is the price that you had
in Q2?
R.
K. Agrawal: That, in fact, also remained more or less the same in
the second quarter but then we had an impact of increase in prices
in the second quarter. In the first quarter, whatever we consumed
was out of the stock as of 31st March. So it did not witness much
of impact of the further increase in the newsprint price. But since
in the second quarter, we consumed material purchased in the first
quarter, it witnessed some increase on account of the increase in
the newsprint prices.
Girish:
Say could have been like $640-$650 something like that.
R.
K. Agrawal: See the increase as compared to the first quarter, it
was in the range of about 3%.
Girish:
Okay Sir, what is the difference between the domestic newsprint
price and imported newsprint price per ton basis?
R.
K. Agrawal: This difference is typically 20% to 25%.
Girish:
Okay, okay. Sir just one last question. This is regarding your outdoor
plans. What is the potential revenue? You have 500 sites now &
all the sites are filled up? What is the potential revenue you could
get from that and if you do fill them up what kind of margins can
you make in that?
R.
K. Agrawal: See, let me tell you that out of those 500 sites most
of them are very, very, prime sites and most of them have already
been filled in now. If we fill in all those sites and we don't add
any other site even then these sites should fetch a revenue of not
less than Rs. 24 crores per annum.
Girish:
Okay, okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: But then we are not stopping there. We are acquiring
more and more sites because we have quite big plans for out of home
(OOH) advertising as we see lot of potential in this.
Girish:
Okay. If you do not expand further on out of home advertising what
could you margins be at this Rs 24 crore per annum number?
R.
K. Agrawal: As I said earlier, we would appreciate if you understand
that this is a trade secret.
Girish:
Okay, okay. Thank you.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line we have Mr. Pratik from B&K
Securities.
Pratik:
Hello sir, congratulations on the good set of numbers.
R.
K. Agrawal: Thank you.
Pratik:
Sir, I just want to check the break up of other operating revenue.
You said Rs 25 crore will be coming in from the outdoor business,
where would the balance would be coming in from?
R.
K. Agrawal: In future, Rs 24-25 crore would be coming from it.
Pratik:
and currently what is the break up?
R.
K. Agrawal: In the 2nd quarter?
Pratik:
Yes
R.
K. Agrawal: In the 2nd quarter, advertisement is about Rs. 92 crores.
Pratik:
No, the break up of other operating?
R.
K. Agrawal: Other operating?
Pratik:
Yes. Apart from advertising and circulation. It comes around Rs.
75 crores. Sir break up of that.
R.
K. Agrawal: I did not understand your question.
Pratik:
Sir, total operating income this quarter was Rs 141 crore.
R.
K. Agrawal: Yeah, Rs 141 crore, out of that Rs 92 crore was from
advertising.
Pratik:
Yes sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: Rs 42 crore is circulation revenue.
Pratik:
Yes sir. And the balance?
R.
K. Agrawal: And out of balance Rs 8crores , 5crores approximately
is from event management and out of home. Balance is from job charges
what we do for Times of India and all, SMS services etc.
Pratik:
Okay sir. That's all.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line Mr. Manish from Brics Securities.
Manish:
Sir, you mentioned from IRS Round II numbers. I am just wondering
whether you could give us absolute readership numbers for key markets
like UP, NCR etc. and also wanted to check if ABC numbers are out
R.
K. Agrawal: ABC numbers are out. You can reach ABC site and have
those numbers very easily.
Manish:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: Not a problem and even the IRS numbers for UP etc that
also you can access on the sites.
Manish:
Okay.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line is Mr. Vaibhav Doshi from
Motilal Oswal.
Vaibhav:
I just wanted to check last quarter you mentioned that there were
some efficiencies, which could be derived from converting colored
to black and white as well as the control over the number of pages
that you can possibly print like.
R.
K. Agrawal: We will continue to do that.
Vaibhav:
Okay, okay.
Vaibhav:
Sir when do you think by what time the rationalization will be over?
it
is more like an ongoing process, not that it is a new initiative.
R.
K. Agrawal: Yes. It is not going to be a new initiative. This initiative
we have already taken and now we are following that very closely.
Vaibhav:
Okay, okay. And about these 500 sites, what is the amount of expenditure
that has been booked corresponding to it, like is it 25% of your
lease charges per quarter, What is the corresponding amount that
has been booked or is there anything more than that?
R.
K. Agrawal: More than that because as I said in the 2nd quarter
the activity has not yet broken even.
Vaibhav:
So basically, whatever upfront lease rental that we had to pay for
the full year that has been booked in this quarter.
R.
K. Agrawal: No not that. We book it on a month to month basis. As
I said earlier, there is always a time gap between acquisition of
property and letting it down. Between those two dates, whatever
rent you pay that is what we lose out on that.
Vaibhav:
And what would be the typical gap between the two?
R.
K. Agrawal: This is something very, very dynamic. You cannot pin
it down. It depends on the person who is selling. We have the best
people available in the industry.
Vaibhav:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: At times it might not take even a day. For example,
we took bus panels in Lucknow which got sold on day one.
Vaibhav:
Okay, okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: But there could be some sites, which might take longer.
For example, we have a few sites in Mumbai and some in Kolkata,
which are yet to be occupied.
Vaibhav:
Okay. When do you expect the launch of the facsimile edition of
the Independent?
R.
K. Agrawal: Depends on when we get the MIB's approval
Vaibhav:
Okay but like in end of 2007 or
R.
K. Agrawal: No, no definitely I am quite hopeful that we should
get it much earlier.
Vaibhav:
Okay, okay. Fine thank you very much.
R.
K. Agrawal: Thank you.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Next in line is Mr. Abneesh from Religare
Securities
Abneesh:
Sir, one more question regarding your advertisement revenues. This
has gone up by 30% and you have mentioned that your color space
have actually gone up. So my question is how much is the difference
between color space and black and white space in terms of costs
for the advertiser and how much is the difference for you in terms
of cost. That is how much extra cost do you incur is to really make
color ad instead of black and white ad?
R.
K. Agrawal: See as far as color ads are concerned, we do not have
to incur substantial cost as such.
Abneesh:
Cost remains the same.
R.
K. Agrawal: Essentially the additional cost is in the form of getting
some finer newsprint but that is not much. It is not too much in
relation to the premium color ads command.
Abneesh:
Right and I believe that premium is around 50% for the advertiser.
R.
K. Agrawal: Varies from customer to customer and from location to
location.
Abneesh:
Okay.
R.
K. Agrawal: Like, if there is a location called Dharamshala, that
might be half of what we are getting.
Abneesh:
Right, right.
R.
K. Agrawal: But if there is a location like Kanpur, we may even
be charging more than 50%.
Abneesh:
Right, right. Sir, one more question is regarding your plans for
radio sir. I think you have some channel.
R.
K. Agrawal: Let me clarify to you this. That is altogether an independent
company.
Abneesh:
Okay, okay. Thank you sir.
R.
K. Agrawal: Thank you.
Moderator:
Thank you very much sir. Participants who wish to ask questions
may please press *1. At this moment there are no further questions
from participants. I would like to handover the floor back to Mr.
R. K. Agrawal for final remarks.
R.
K. Agrawal: Thank you very much ladies and gentlemen. I hope and
trust that both of us tried to answer your questions to your satisfaction
but at the same time, you all would appreciate that there are certain
constraints because of which certain questions could not have been
replied in so much detail as you would have wished. In respect of
those, whenever we will meet, we can exchange our views on certain
matters or you can seek more information from us. With that, I would
like to thank you very much once again and we hope that you all
would continue to extend your good wishes and support to the company.
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